The Specter of Our Time: Oil, War, and Global Polity

1. The Specter of Our Time:Oil, War, and Global Polity Professor Cyrus Bina Columbia University Seminar on Globalization, Labor, and Popular Struggles #671 Faculty House, Columbia University, New York Monday, September 30, 2013: 7:15 PM – 9:00 PM

2. OIL, WAR, and GLOBAL POLLITY The Evolution of Petroleum: An Overview • Early Cartelization Era (pre-1928) • The Achnacarry Agreement (1928): Full Control • The International Petroleum Cartel (1928) • Colonial Oil Concessions: The ME’s Middle Name • The Rise of Independents: Challenge to Full Control • Oil, Colonialism, and Nationalism • The So-called 50-50 Profit Sharing • Oil and the Overthrow (1953 CIA Coup) • Formation of OPEC (1960) and an Inner Fracture • The 1973-74 Oil Crisis: Defeat of Monopoly by Competition • The Collapse of International Petroleum Cartel (1972) • Decartelization, Spot & Futures Markets, Globalization (1970s)

3. International Petroleum Cartel (1928-72)The Achnacarry Agreement • MAINTAININGthe market shares of members – ‘As Is’ ; • PROVIDINGFacilities belonging to members must be made available, but not less than the actual cost to the owner; • ADDINGnew facilities only as actually needed to supply increased demand; • MAINTAININGfor each producing area the financial advantage of its geographical location; • DRAWING supplies from the nearest producing area; • PREVENTINGany surplus production in a given geographical area from upsetting the price structure in any other area; • OBSERVINGof these principles would benefit not only the industry but consumers as well.

4. Periodization of PetroleumI.The Era of Colonial Oil Concession • Vastness of Area under Concession, often Whole Country; • Lengthy Interval in Excess of Fifty or Sixty Years; • Handful of United, Interlocking National Cartels; • Display Little Payment on Oil Royalty; • Uniformity of Feature and Homogeneity of Royalty Payment; • Little Change in Terms or Length of Concession. • Extra Judicial Practice in Settling the Disputes.

5. Periodization of Petroleum cont.II. Transition Period Toward Decartelization • Nationalist Awakening and Colonial Barriers; • 50-50 Profit Sharing in Calculation of Oil Royalties; • 1951 Nationalization of Oil in Iran Under Mossadegh; • 1953 CIA Coup d'état Against Premier Mossadegh; • 1954 Denationalization of Oil in Iran; • 1960 Formation of OPEC in Response to Price Cut; • Rise of Independent Oil Companies.

6. Periodization of Petroleum cont.III. Globalization of Oil • Decartelization and Competitive Globalization of oil; • 1972 Collapse of International Petroleum Cartel (IPC); • Objectification of Highest Cost Oil Producer (US Oil) as Center of Gravity of Long-Term Price; • Spot (Futures) Markets and Abolition of ‘Posted Prices’; • Arbitrary ‘Royalty’ Gave Way to Differential Oil Rents; • Parodies of ‘Security’, ‘Dependency’, ‘Physical Access’, Need for ‘Oil War’, and ‘Energy Independence’; • Birth of Global oil, Hoax of ‘National Security’ and Cut off of US Foreign Policy from Umbilical Cord.

7. Transformation of Global PowerHegemony and Hegemonic Leadership • Hegemony and Nature of Leadership • Drawing on Antonio Gramsci’s View • SpontaneouslyConsensual • Internally Arisen • HistoricallySanctioned • HolisticallyUndivided • Structurally Synthetic • Institutionally Mediation • Hegemony arises from mutuality of system as the whole—NOTseparate property of the hegemon.

8. Postwar Pax Americana (1945-1979) Hegemonic Economic Institutions • The Bretton Woods Monetary System (1944-1971) • Direct Dial with God Gold – Dollars: the Messenger • International Monetary Fund (IMF) • World Bank and Affiliated Channels and Institutions • Marshall Plan for the Postwar Reconstruction • General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • Agency for International Development(AID) • UniversalLand Reform Programs in the ‘Third World’ • Unfolding Spread of Capital and Capitalist Relations • Incubator for Transnationalization of Social Capital

11. Postwar Pax Americana cont. • Iron Curtain Speech (March 5,1946) – Going for Jugular • Soviet Atomic Bomb – the ‘Monkey wrench’ • Three-Prong US Cold War Strategy of Containment: • Containment of the Soviet Union • Containment of Nationalist & Democratic Movements, thus ruining the roots democracy in the ‘Third World’ • Containment of US Progressive Political Movements, including Labor Unions, Etc. • Strategy of Détente vis-à-vis the Soviet Union

12. Globalization and Downfall of Pax Americana“What is done cannot be undone.” • Eurodollars and Unraveling of the Bretton Woods System (August 1971) • US Balance of Payments Suddenly Turns Red • International Monetary Fund Wobbling and Limping • World Bank Becomes a Relic of the Past • The 1973-74 Oil Crisis Leads to Globalization of Oil • Multinational Capital Sheds Its Nationality • Transnational Social Capital is Born • US ‘Plants Closing’: Mop-up Operation of the 1980s • Economic Crises Are Now Interdependent & Global

13. Globalization and Downfall of Pax Americana cont. • With the 1972 Collapse of International Petroleum Cartel, ‘Postwar Petroleum Order’ Comes to an End • With Revolutions in Iran and Nicaragua, The ‘Third World’ Client Sub-System Virtually Ends in 1979 • The European Community Turns to European Union • Euro is Born and US Dollar is No Longer Lonely! • Globalization Germinates Amid the Outmoded Polity • Globalization isNOT ‘Americanization’ as Economy and Polity are Now Marching to a Different Drummer • Hegemony is NOT Domination By Force • American Hegemony is Contradiction in Terms

14. Rightwing Theory and Leftwing Regurgitation “The United States has gone to war now [in the early 1990s], and the American people presume this will lead to a secure oil supply. As a society, we have made a choice to secure access to oil by military means. The alternative is to become independent to a large degree of what that secure access (Challenge, 1991).” —James Schlesinger, Economist with a Harvard Ph.D. and First US Secretary of Energy A September 2013 E-mail Received from one of my dearest leftist friends at URPE: “Cyrus, you have a lot of interesting things to say, but in this invitation you are once again being rather insulting to the Left! Why would a leftist listen to you if you are calling us all stupid? I have said this before -- while these wars are more than oil wars, oil is certainly an important part of them, and of US imperialism in general.Calling a war an ‘oil war’ I believe opens people eyes to broader dimensions of US foreign policy.It's a slogan. A slogan is supposed to arouse interest, not explain the world.Just because there is a world oil market, doesn't mean that political influence has no effect on future access, how the industry is developed, whether a country can actually produce oil or whether it is blown to smithereens, and where the profits go. It seems to me that a market is a temporary arrangement, which changed in the past and can change again.”

15. Oil:The Mismeasure of “Blood”? “Oil is not an object but a trajectory, indeed a constellation of exigencies, events, actions and reactions, disputes and refutations, disparity and deviation, and, above all, contradiction and conflict across historical time and social relations fused and conjoined.... This is the story of old colonialism bleached in neocolonialism … and carried over and conveyed by the schizophrenic rubric of Pax Americana, before becoming history in past tense. This was the end of a history and the beginning of a new one. [Thus, the end of history did not turn up] in the intended fashion of Fukuyama’s jovial ruse. The irony of history … would make the ‘last man’ the very last US president in charge of the now defunct Pax Americana.” Oil, War, and Global Polity (Bina 2013)

16. Conclusion:Toward A Multipolar Global Polity • Globalization of Oil is a Critical Lenz for: • Assessing the Rise and Fall of American Hegemony • Appreciating of Capitalist Competition in Presence of Integration • Understanding of OPEC and Its Today’s Role • Grasping that Speaking of the Middle East ‘Oil Dependency’ is a Babble • Accepting that ‘Energy Independence’ is a Wishful Thinking • Realizing that If ‘Fracking’ Displaces the Old US Domestic Fields, Long-Term Global Price of Oil is Still Determined Within the US Oil Region • Globalization is the Negation of American Hegemony • Hegemony Belonged to the Defunct Pax Americana (1945-1979) • Pax Americana Collapsed By Internal Forces • The Real Cause of the War is the US Reaction of to Its Lost Hegemony • By Military Domination, US Will Dig a Deeper Hole for Its Further Decline