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‘ Weather@home ANZ 2013’ – the causes of severe drought in New Zealand. Suzanne Rosier, Sam Dean, Stephen Stuart Lead c ollaborators : Myles Allen (Oxford), David Karoly (Melbourne ). Soil dryness, 17 March 2013. ‘ Weather@home ’ for Australia and New Zealand –
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‘Weather@homeANZ 2013’ – the causes of severe drought in New Zealand Suzanne Rosier, Sam Dean, Stephen Stuart Lead collaborators: Myles Allen (Oxford), David Karoly (Melbourne)
‘Weather@home’ for Australia and New Zealand – one of the views a participant can see
The experiment “The 2013 that was” “The 2013 that might have been” Models forced with our best estimates of how 2013 might have been without anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions • Models forced with all conditions as observed in 2013
Golden Bay, post-December 2011 flooding (credit: Gerry Draper)
Precip return times - NZ 1960s blue / 2000s red1750 modelsJun Jul Aug precip 1 in 20y 1 in 50y return time 20 50