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Characteristics of an Experimental Design. Manipulation of intervention (time order)Comparison of experimental and control groups Control of threats to validity - Random Assignment. Characteristics of a Quasi-Experimental Design. Manipulation of an independent variableComparison between grou
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1. Quasi- and Non-Experimental Designs James R. Foreit, Ph.D.
Operations Research Proposal
Development Workshop
May 3, 2006
2. Characteristics of an Experimental Design
3. Characteristics of a Quasi-Experimental Design Manipulation of an independent variable
Comparison between groups, time periods
No random assignment
4. Difference Between Quasi- and True Experimental Designs A true experimental design uses random assignment to protect against sources of invalidity
A quasi-experimental design does not use random assignment and cannot protect against many types of invalidity
A true experimental design demonstrates causality; a quasi-experimental design does not
5. You Cannot Always Use an Experimental Design Units cannot be randomly assigned to organismic variables
You may have a very small sample
Political, ethical and administrative reasons: No one will randomly assign a public health program
Fear of contamination may prevent random assignment
6. Reliability Reliability refers to the consistency and dependability of the data.
If I ask the same person the same question twice will I get the same answer?
A reliable measure is one that if repeated a second time will give the same results as it did the first time
Types of reliability: Test-retest; inter-rater, consistency
7. Validity Validity refers to measurements that are not only reliable but also true and accurate
A valid measurement measures what it is supposed to measure
A valid measure is also reliable
A reliable measure is not always valid
8. Validity Concerns Internal validity: Did the experimental treatment make a difference in this specific study?
External validity: To what programs, settings and populations can the results of the study be generalized?
9. Factors Commonly Jeopardizing Internal Validity in OR Studies Selection Bias
History
Testing
Differential Mortality
Instrumentation
10. Selection Bias Selection bias occurs whenever the people selected for the control group differ systematically from the experimental group
Self-selection into groups is a common problem in operations research studies
11. History Some things happen to one group that do not happen to the comparison group
Strikes
New procedures
A presidential address
12. Testing Testing bias occurs when earlier measurements affect the results of later measurements
Giving identical pre-tests and post-tests to trainees
13. Instrumentation Whenever a measurement instrument is changed between a pre-test and a post-test
14. Differential Mortality If the people/units who drop out of one study group differ systematically from drop outs of other group, we do not know if results due to intervention or differential mortality.
15. Quasi-Experimental Designs Uses of Different Quasi-Experimental Designs and Validity Threats
16. Time Series Design Repeated measures on the same group over time
No control or comparison group
O1 O2 O3 X O4 O5 O6
17. Use of Time Series Designs
Evaluate a mass media campaign
Whenever you cannot use a separate control group (e.g., only one facility in the study)
18. Validity Threats in a Time Series Design A time series design does not control for:
History
Instrumentation
Testing
A time series does control for:
Selection
19. Pre-test Post-testNon-equivalent Control Group Design Intervention and comparison groups
No random assignment
O X O
O O
20. Use of Non-equivalent Control Group Design When you have no more than two units to assign (e.g., two hospitals, two districts)
When random assignment is not possible
Study units should always be matched with a non-equivalent control group design
21. Validity Threats in a Non-equivalent Design A non-equivalent design does not control for:
Selection
A non-equivalent design does control for:
History
Testing
Instrumentation
22. Non-experimental Designs Case Study
X O
One Group Pre-test Post-test
X O X
23. Strengthen the Case for Your Design with Evidence No random assignment – Any evidence of systematic bias in the selection?
Time series study? Any historical event that may have influenced the results?
24. Operational Definitions Terms and variables should be defined in a way that permits measurement and monitoring.
No: “The independent variable is group counseling”
Yes: “Groups < 8 persons meet 2 hrs/day for 3 consecutive days. Topics include What is HIV? (45 minutes)….
25. Monitor the Intervention Did the groups meet for 2 hours?
Were all subjects covered?
Where there fewer than 8 persons?
Without being able to say that the intervention was conducted as planned, you cannot say that the results are due to the intervention
26. Other Monitoring Issues Is the intervention being conducted equally in all units?
How much variation is there in the independent variable?
Do groups remain equivalent?
Are observations collected?