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Learn about the history and benefits of sire fertility evaluations and genomic testing in the dairy industry. Discover how these advancements can help improve breeding decisions and increase conception rates.
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Service-sire fertility – history • Estimated relative conception rate (ERCR) • 70-day nonreturn rate (NRR) • Source: • Dairy Records Management Systems, 1986−2005 • USDA, 2006−2008 • Western Bull Fertility Analysis • 75-d confirmed conception rate (CR) • Source: AgriTech Analytics, 2003−present
Sire conception rate (SCR) • New USDA fertility evaluation • Initiated Aug. 2008 • Based on confirmed Conception Rate • Why is SCR most accurate? • Inseminations from ~80% of DHI herds in US • Most services (not just first) • More effects accounted for
Data included • Only AI inseminations with confirmed pregnancy • Service numbers 1–7 for cows in lactations 1–5 • Inseminations between 30 and 365 days in milk • Minimum standardized (ME) milk yield • >10,000 lb for Holsteins • >8,000 lb for Brown Swiss • >6,000 lb for all other breeds
Data included (cont.) • Most recent 4 yr. of inseminations • The 6 traditional dairy breeds • Ayrshire • Brown Swiss • Guernsey • Holstein • Jersey • Milking Shorthorn
Data excluded • Embryo-transfer donors • Services with sexed semen • Heifer services • If services within 10 d of each other, only the later of the 2 used
Data excluded (cont.) • Herd with ≥50% of milking cows without recorded breeding • Herd with average CR <10% or >90% • Service sire <0.8 yr old • Services just prior to submission deadline (<70 d)
Data sources • 3 dairy records processing centers contributed >99% of data • AgriTech Analytics: California • AgSource Cooperative Service: Wisconsin • Dairy Records Management Systems: North Carolina • 46 States and Puerto Rico
Development of SCR • 4-year research effort prior to implementation – primarily by Dr. Melvin Kuhn • Bull variables (expanded service-sire effects) • Cow variables (nuisance variables)
Bull variables • Inbreeding coefficient of: • Service sire • Embryo • Bull age • Combined AI organization x mating year • Bull
Cow variables • Combined herd, mating year, cow parity, and cow registry status • Combined mating month, year, and State • Cow parity • Service number • Short interval between matings • Cow age • Cow standardized milk yield • Cow’s permanent environment • Cow’s genetics
SCR model Hoard’s Dairyman “The most complex model that I know of to evaluate animal performance” — Bennet Cassell, VPISU, 2008
Accuracy of SCR • Reliability (Rel.) = n/(n + 260) • n = number of inseminations • Constant 260 was needed based of variance components estimated for this model • Confidence interval (CI) = • 0.02313 = true standard deviation • 1.282 = standard normal variate from normal distribution for an 80% CI
SCR published • Released 3 times a year with USDA genetic evaluation runs • January • April • August • Eligible AI bulls • Active AI • Progeny test
SCR published (cont.) • Overall matings • Holstein ≥300 in ≥10 herds • Ayrshire, Brown Swiss, ≥200 in ≥5 herds Guernsey, Jersey • Matings during current 12 mo • Holsteins, Jersey ≥100 • Ayrshires, Brown Swiss, ≥30 Guernsey
Interpretation of SCR • Predictor of bull fertility • Indicates Conception Rate • Reported as a percentage • Average bulls SCR is 0.0% • Standard deviation for SCR is 2.4%, 2/3 of bulls between -2.4% and +2.4%
Examples • Bull with SCR of +3.0% should provide a 3% higher CR than an average bull (SCR of 0.0), and 6% higher CR than a bull with SCR of −3.0% • Bull with SCR of +3.0% expected to provide a CR of 33% in herd that has been averaging 30% and has been using “average” fertility bulls
Herd & service sire fertility • Relationship between fertility of herd and bull SCR when examined together • Herd-years stratified into 3 equally sized groups by CR • ≤27.3% Low fertility • 27.4 to 33.9% Medium fertility • ≥34.0% High fertility • Bulls stratified into 3 equally sized groups by SCR • ≤−0.9% Low fertility • −0.8 to +1.0% Medium fertility • ≥+1.1% High fertility
Conclusions • SCR more accurate because it uses more inseminations • More DHI herds • Extra services (2–7) • More complete model
Genomics, genomics,genomics You 9 What?
Genomic evaluations – history • Illumina BovineSNP50 BeadChip developed (December 2007) • Unofficial genomic evaluations for Holsteins initiated (April 2008); computed every 2 mo. • Owner letters and computer files distributed by AIPL • Unofficial genomic evaluations for Jerseys (Oct. 2008)
Genomic eval. – history(cont.) • Brown Swiss genomics tested; negotiations started to exchange Brown Swiss genotypes with Switzerland (Oct. 2008) • Unofficial genomic evaluations for Brown Swiss (Dec. 2008) • Over 22,000 animals genotyped (Feb. 2009) • Genomic evaluations become official (Jan. 2009) • Owner letters and computer files distributed by breed associations and NAAB
Genomic evaluations: what’s it about? • DNA extracted from blood, hair, or semen • ~40,000 genetic markers (SNPs) tested simultaneously (about 1/2 cent per test) • Value of each SNP determined by examining how each SNP impacts “tested animal” performance • The payoff is to genotype young animals and apply the prediction equations • Genomic evaluation combines SNP effects with traditional PA or PTA
Genomic vs. traditional PTA • Genotype is additional source of information (like parents, progeny, and animal records) • For each animal, the genomic test is used to calculate genomic evaluations for all 29 traits • Genomic evaluation interpreted the same as traditional PTA • Expected to increase genetic improvement by 50% with decreased generation interval. Also, genomics contributes ~15 daughter equivalents to a bull
Genomic evaluations – Jan. 2009 • Genomic evaluations became official • Genotyped ancestors contribute their evaluations to descendents, not the reverse • Evaluations of all genotyped females are public • Evaluations of genotyped males either enrolled with NAAB or ≥24 mo. are public • Young-bull genomic evaluations may be shared among AI organizations or disclosed by owner
Genomic eval. – producer impact • Young-bull genomic evaluations have accuracy approaching 1st-crop daughter evaluations (60-70% Reliability) • AI organizations have started marketing genomically evaluated 2-year-old bulls • AI organizations are requiring genotypes on potential bull dams • Progeny-test programs are changing
Genomic evaluations – schedule • Genomic evaluations provided at each of the 3 annual traditional genetic runs: January, April, and August • Genomic evaluations on new bulls provided once or twice between traditional runs • We re-estimate SNP predictors when large numbers of predictor animals added
Genomic eval. – increase accuracy? • Genotyping more predictor bulls (most active-AI bulls expected to be genotyped soon) • Should reach 1,500 Brown Swiss through foreign collaboration • Aggressive genotyped in domestic Jerseys underway, foreign collaboration is likely • Investigate across-breed analysis to see if Holstein data helps accuracy for Jerseys and Brown Swiss
How animals get genotyped • Participating AI organizations have 5-year exclusive right to evaluate bulls genomically • Each AI organization genotypes 1st-choice flushes, thus avoiding duplicate genotyping • Web-based system being developed to show activity • Should help avoid expensive duplication • Breed associations developing cow genotyping service
On horizon: Low-cost genotyping • Developing a new genomic test, inexpensive enough to use for most animals • 384 SNPs proposed for new genomic test • Will provide parentage verification/discovery • Will provides a genetic estimate accurate enough for 1st-stage screening
Implications for dairy industry • Rapid acceptance and use of genomic evaluations • Young-bull acquisition and marketing now based on genomic evaluations • Diversity of bull dams needs considered • Industry groups taking responsibility for genotyping and validation
International implications • All major dairy countries reviewing genomic • Interbull discussing how genomic evaluations should be integrated • Balance needed between treating genotypes as proprietary versus open sharing • Some importing countries might change rules to allow young genomic-tested bull use
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