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Its Not Oil and Water: Blending Climate Solutions & Sustainable Development. Cameron Wake Carbon Solutions New England Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, & Space (EOS) University of New Hampshire Twitter: @ TheClimateDr 6 Dec 2012 US Green Building Council
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Its Not Oil and Water: Blending Climate Solutions & Sustainable Development Cameron Wake Carbon Solutions New England Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, & Space (EOS) University of New Hampshire Twitter: @TheClimateDr 6 Dec 2012 US Green Building Council NH Chapter Annual Meeting
Were You Ready for the Storm? Were You Ready for the Storm? NASA Earth Observatory Image 30 October 2011
Quadrennial Defense Review 2011 “Although they produce distinct types of challenges, climate change, energy security, and economic stability are inextricably linked.” http://www.defense.gov/qdr/
Mauna Loa, Hawaii CO2 Record 1958 - 2012 Mauna Loa, Hawaii CO2 Record 1958 - 2012 http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/#mlo_data
Vostok CO2 Record 1000 Business as Usual 800 carbon dioxide (ppmv) Clean Energy & Efficiency 600 400 Current Vostok Ice Core 200 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Years Before 2100 AD IPCC 2001
National Fossil Fuel Carbon Emissions: 1950-2008 http://cdiac.ornl.gov/
Global Temperature 1880-2010 (meteorological stations) http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
Northeast Winter Temperature Trends 1895-2008 Burakowski et al., 2008, JGR
Northeast Winter Temperature Trends 1965-2008 Burakowski et al., 2008, JGR
4 Inch Precipitation Events by Decade 1948 - 2007 Durham, NH Lawrence, MA
Costs from Presidentially Declared Disasters And Emergency Declarations in NH
Relative Sea Level Rise 1856 - 2011 Saco. Maine 17 Apr 2007 Nantucket, MA 18 Apr 2007
Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment • Collaboration between Union of Concerned Scientists and 50 independent scientists • Geographic Scope Nine Northeast states, from Maine to Pennsylvania • Peer Review Climate Dynamics, 2007 14 papers in Adaptation and Mitigation of Climate Change, 2008 www.climatechoices.org
Projecting Future Climate Change for the Northeast:Greenhouse Gas Emission Scenarios
Projecting Future Climate Change for the Northeast:Rising Annual Temperatures Higher: 6.5-12.5oF Lower: 3.5-6.5oF 2oF warming since 1970
Days per year over 90oF Summer heat index: How hot summers will “feel” in New Hampshire
Extreme Precipitation Events Increase • Heavy rainfall events are becoming more frequent across the Northeast • Under both emissions scenarios -rainfall is expected to become more intense -periods of heavy rainfall are expected to become more frequent Bridge over Axe Handle Brook, Rochester, NH May 2006. credit: Associated Press
Vulnerability of Ski Resorts to Climate Change Higher Emissions
Projection of Sea Level Rise from 1990 to 2100 79 71 63 55 47 40 Sea Level Change (inches) 32 24 16 8 0 Vermeer and Rahmstorf (2009) Global sea level linked to global temperature. PNAS 106, 21527–21532.
Portsmouth NH 7 feet storm surge 5 feet SLR 12 feet flood height
Cameron Wake Elizabeth Burakowski Eric Kelsey Carbon Solutions New England Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space University of New Hampshire Katharine Hayhoe Anne Stoner Texas Tech University Chris Watson Ellen Douglas Univ. of Massachussets Boston http://CarbonSolutionsNE.org
NH Climate Action Plan • One of the largest, most diverse collections of leading NH citizens • Promotes growth of new jobs and renewable energy development • Reduces energy costs • Identifies 67 recommended actions buildings • electricity generation, • transportation & land use • natural resources • government action • adaptation • Reduce greenhouse gas emissions • 44% below 2005 levels by 2025 • 86% below 2005 levels by 2050 More info at: http://CarbonSolutionsNE.org
Overarching Strategies to Achieve Goals Maximize energy efficiency in buildings & transportation Increase renewable & low-emitting heat & electric power sources Protect our natural resources to enhance the amount of carbon sequestration Develop an integrated education, outreach and workforce training program Develop plans to adapt to existing and potential climate change
New Hampshire Economic Benefits vs Avoided CO2e Emissions in 2025
Percentage of Americans who believe anthropogenic global warming has already begun, according to their political party identification
Were You Ready for the Storm? Were You Ready for the Storm? Satellite image of Hurricane Sandy, 28 Oct 2012. NASA image.