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Climate Science and Climate Services NCAR, Boulder, CO May 21, 2018

Climate Science and Climate Services NCAR, Boulder, CO May 21, 2018. Caspar M. Ammann National Center for Atmospheric Research ( ammann@ucar.edu ). User Interface Platform - a means for users, user representatives, climate researchers and climate service providers to interact

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Climate Science and Climate Services NCAR, Boulder, CO May 21, 2018

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  1. Climate Science and Climate Services NCAR, Boulder, CO May 21, 2018 Caspar M. Ammann National Center for Atmospheric Research (ammann@ucar.edu)

  2. User Interface Platform - a means for users, user representatives, climate researchers and climate service providers to interact Climate Services Information System - to collect, process and distribute climate data and information according to the needs of users and according to the procedures agreed upon Observations and Monitoring - to ensure that the climate observations necessary to meet the needs of climate services are generated Research, Modeling and Prediction - to assess and promote the needs of climate services within research agendas Capacity Building - to support systematic development of the necessary institutions, infrastructure and human resources to provide effective climate services. WMO - GFCSGlobal Framework for Climate Services

  3. Water: Precipitation ≠ Precipitation Application-specific understanding and evaluation needed Itaipu : Hydropower Mexico : Drought Panama : Flash Flood Haiti : Hurricane

  4. Risk Screening: Primary hazard categories by sector Many similarities, but different thresholds, and some unique Insurance Hazards Storms & Tropical cyclones River flooding, Flash flood Wintry precipitation Storm surge Extreme Temperatures: Heat/Cold Drought Fire Country-level integration Forestry Hazards Fire Drought Geographic / Optimal Range River flooding, Flash flood Wind Snowfall Water scarcity Extreme Temperatures: Heat/Cold Tropical cyclone risk Ports Hazards High wind Wave heights Harbor water levels River water levels: Flood / Drought Storm surge Extreme Temperatures: Heat/Cold Cooling degree days Tropical cyclone risk Ports Forestry Insurance

  5. Goal: Adding Value to Data & Information Portals Standardization and Tailoring

  6. Tailored Screening: Interactive Dashboards Relevant climate information accessible and in context Multi-variate analysis and presentation (selection and visualizations, login -> storage of preferences) Flexible comparisons: done in real time, spatial or aggregated data

  7. Emerging Heat Threatin India and Pakistan Caspar M. Ammann: NCAR Ken MacClune: ISET Reference: Projections of relentless heat across Northern India and its impacts for the poor. By: C.M. Ammann, K. A. MacClune, K. Ideda, F. Khan, M. Moench, s. Wajih, B. Singh, D. Singh, L. Sabbag, K. Howley, and S. Chopde. Paper in revision for Nature Climate Change.

  8. Global Emergence of Heat ThreatsIncreased heat days above critical human temperature threshold

  9. Rise of Heat in Indus and Ganges ValleysEmergence of continuous, physiologically dangerous heat periods

  10. #Heat Threat Days for People w/o ElectricityProjected 2050 Populations and Electricity Access Using current population and electrification rate For projected population and electrification levels

  11. Thanks! Any Questions? Caspar Ammann, National Center for Atmospheric Research email: ammann@ucar.edu

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