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Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections

Explore the population growth, diversity, age distribution, and economic indicators in Texas. Learn about the changing demographics and educational attainment in the state.

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Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections

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  1. Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections AmeriCorps VISTA Austin, TX February 27, 2018 @TexasDemography

  2. Texas is experiencing significant growth.

  3. Growing States, 2000-2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

  4. Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  5. Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016 96 counties lost population over the 6 year period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  6. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  7. Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

  8. Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates. *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016. 8

  9. Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016 9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates.

  10. Estimated Percent of Total Net-Migrant Flows to and From Texas and Other States, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016. ACS Migration Flows, 2015

  11. Texas continues to diversify.

  12. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, • 2000, 2010, and 2016 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2016 Population Estimates

  13. Racial and Ethnic Composition of Texas and Top 10 Most Populous Counties, 2015 12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates

  14. Population Pyramids for Hispanics and Non-Hispanic Whites in Texas, 2010

  15. Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

  16. Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2015

  17. Texas is young, but aging.

  18. States with the Oldest Median Ages, 2000, 2010, 2014

  19. Texas Population by Age Group, 2000 to 2014

  20. Population Projections by Age Group, 2010 to 2050

  21. Percent of Population 65 Years Plus, Texas Counties, 2011-2015 30 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  22. Economic Outlook

  23. Job Growth, U.S. and Texas, 1990 to Aug 2018

  24. Economic Indicators, Texas and U.S., 2016 • Unemployment rate • Texas = 5.6% • U.S. = 5.8% • Median Household Income • Texas = $56,565 • U.S. = $57,617 • Median Family Income • Texas = $67,025 • U.S. = 71,062 • Median earnings for males working full time • Texas = $47,351 • U.S. = $50,586 • Median earnings for females working full time • Texas = $37,576 • U.S. = $40,626 • Poverty rate • Texas = 15.6% • U.S. = 14.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

  25. Unemployment Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2003-2015

  26. Median Home Prices, Texas and U.S., 2000-2017

  27. Housing Affordability in Select Texas Metros, 2007-2016

  28. Median Household Income, Texas Counties, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2016 5-Year Estimates

  29. Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Texas and Big Four Metro Areas, 2016

  30. Number and Percent of Texans Living Below Poverty, 1993 to 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates.

  31. Poverty Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2013 American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates.

  32. Poverty Rate by Age and Family Type, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2013 American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates.

  33. Percent of the population with income below poverty, Texas counties, 2011-2015 Source: U.S. Census  Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

  34. Unemployment and Poverty Rates by Race/Ethnicity, Texas and Big Four Metro Areas, 2016

  35. Poverty Rate by Educational Attainment, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2013 American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates.

  36. Educational Attainment, Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2011 and 2015 U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2011 and 2015 * Years significantly different p<.05

  37. Percent Distribution of Educational Attainment of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2008, 2011, and 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2008-2015

  38. Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample, 2015

  39. Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

  40. Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity, Texas and Big Four Metro Areas, 2016

  41. Trends in Latino Education in the U.S. Over the past decade, Hispanic high school dropout rates have dropped. College enrollment among Hispanics is increased. There is still a large disparity between Hispanics and other groups in obtaining a bachelor’s degree. Hispanic college students attend public 2-year schools at higher rates than other groups. Hispanics are less likely than other groups to have student debt. Nearly all Latino youths (89%) believe a college degree is important for getting ahead in life. Source: Pew Research Center, 2016, 5 Facts about Latinos and Education and Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America, 2009

  42. Population Projections

  43. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2016 Preliminary Population Projections

  44. Projected and Estimated Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2020 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2016 Preliminary Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Population Estimates

  45. Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

  46. Projected Population of Persons Aged 0-18 Years by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

  47. Projected Percent of Population of Persons Aged 0-18 Years by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

  48. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1980 to 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2010 Decennial Censuses; Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario

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