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QPF Skill Scores over CONUS

QPF Skill Scores over CONUS. Oct 2009 – Sep 2010 (annual) Oct 2009 – Mar 2010 (cold season) Apr 2010 – Sept 2010 (warm season). Models included in analysis: NCEP GFS NCEP NAM CMC Global CMC Regional ECMWF DWD JMA UKMET. QPF Skill Scores over CONUS Oct 2009 – Sep 2010. Eq. Threat.

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QPF Skill Scores over CONUS

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  1. QPF Skill Scores over CONUS Oct 2009 – Sep 2010 (annual)Oct 2009 – Mar 2010 (cold season)Apr 2010 – Sept 2010 (warm season) • Models included in analysis: • NCEP GFS • NCEP NAM • CMC Global • CMC Regional • ECMWF • DWD • JMA • UKMET

  2. QPF Skill Scores over CONUSOct 2009 – Sep 2010 Eq. Threat Eq. Threat Bias Bias GFS, NAM, CMCGLB, CMC GFS, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, UKMO

  3. Cool Season Scores CONUS Oct 2009 – Mar 2010 Eq. Threat Eq. Threat Bias Bias GFS, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, UKMO GFS, NAM, CMCGLB, CMC

  4. Warm Season Scores CONUSApr 2010– Sep 2010 Eq. Threat Eq. Threat Bias Bias GFS, DWD, ECMWF, JMA, UKMO GFS, NAM, CMCGLB, CMC

  5. GFS, GFSX, NAM scores, 29 Jun – 28 Jul 2010 24+48+72h forecasts stats For the month before the GFS T574 implementation. The then operational GFS compared to the T574 parallel GFSX, and the operational NAM. (An extra, 4”/day, threshold, has been added in the parallel precip verif package, but it is not in operation yet). ETS Bias=1.0

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