1 / 12

Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”)

Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”). SCDHEC Gene G. Soult April 7, 2014. www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov. SCE&G’s IRP Part of SCE&G’s 2014 IRP was used to illustrate the IRP process. SCE&G’s IRP can be obtained by contacting the South Carolina Energy Office www.energy.sc.gov

dayd
Download Presentation

Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”)

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”) SCDHEC Gene G. Soult April 7, 2014 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  2. SCE&G’s IRP Part of SCE&G’s 2014 IRP was used to illustrate the IRP process. SCE&G’s IRP can be obtained by contacting the South Carolina Energy Office www.energy.sc.gov • www.energy.sc.gov • www.energy.sc.gov 2 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  3. Introduction- Demand and Energy Forecast 15-year period, 2014 through 2028 • Territorial Summer/Winter Peak with average growth rate per year respectively, over the forecast horizon. • Gross MW-hour Energy Sales by Year • Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management Impacts to Gross Baseline Sales • Compute Firm Peak Demand 3 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  4. Demand Side Management • System Peak Demand- Summer vs. Winter (normally summer peaking in South Carolina) • Demand-Side Impact on Forecast • Energy Efficiency (“EE”) results in lower peak estimates in GWH for retail and commercial sales • Load Impact of EE and Demand Response programs represent over all MWs reduction on system 4 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  5. Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”) DSM Programs • Customer Information • Web-Based Information and Services • Energy Conservation • Demand Side Management • Load Management Programs 5 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  6. SCE&G’s Existing Energy Resources • Fossil • Hydro • Nuclear • Solar • Biomass • Renewables • (“PaCE”) 6 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  7. Future Energy Sources • New Renewable Projects • Off-Shore Wind • Co-firing with Biomass • Smart Grid Activities • Distribution Automation - Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (“SCADA”) • Environmental Mitigation Activities - Nox SO2 Mercury, Air Toxics • Nuclear Power in the future - Small and Modular Reactors (“SMR”) 7 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  8. Supply Side Management • Impacts of Environmental Regulation- Nox SOx,Hg, CO2 • Existing Supply Resources Planning Reserve Margin and Operating Reserves • Reserve Capacity Range- 14-20% of firm Peak Demand • Allow for managing daily risk issues • Supply Risk-Loss of Generation resources (LOLP) 1/10yr • Demand Risk- unexpected increases on customer load • SERC Reserves- Provided through area agreement • Plant Retirements • New Generation 8 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  9. Transmission System Assessment • Ten Year Schedule of Future Additions & Modifications • Customer Growth - Residential, Commercial, Industrial, and Wholesale • Emergency Assistance • Economic Opportunities for Customers • Meet Transmission Performance Standards 9 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  10. Modeling • Short Range - 2 year forecasts for electric customers - average and total usage: • Historical and forecasted data • Weather sensitive average models HDD 60oF, 75oF CDD • Utilize Autoregressive integrated moving average approach (“ARIMA”) • Electric Sales Assumptions-30 forecasting groups • Long Range Sales Forecasts: • Classes of service cover 93% of total sales • Disaggregated into types of dwellings • Uses regression analysis fit methodology 10 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

  11. Questions/Comments 12 www.regulatorystaff.sc.gov

More Related