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Pelatihan II Menghitung EIRR. TPSDP Project Implementation Outcome Analysis Tangible Economic Benefit Measurement Group I Makasar 26-9-2001. Basic Assumption Investment Cost Increment Change/Benefit EIRR Calculation. Basic Assumption. Base 100 6 9 800 100. Mid 110 5 5 1000
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Pelatihan IIMenghitung EIRR • TPSDP Project Implementation Outcome Analysis • Tangible Economic Benefit Measurement • Group I • Makasar • 26-9-2001 Basic Assumption Investment Cost Increment Change/Benefit EIRR Calculation
Basic Assumption Base 100 6 9 800 100 Mid 110 5 5 1000 110 Final 120 4 3 1200 120 Factor Observed • Average Number of annual enrolled student • Average length of Study (year) • Waiting time to get first job (month) • First job Salary (Rp 000) • Annual new student enrolled capacity (person)
Investment Cost • Total 4 years Investment Cost : $ 1.300.000 • Assume Exchange Rate (Rp) : 9.000 • Total Investment in Rupiah = 11.700.000.000 • Distribution of Investment : • Year 1 = 30% = 3,510,000 • Year 2 = 35% = 4,095,000 • Year 3 = 20% = 2,340,000 • Year 4 = 15% = 1,755,000 • Operation Cost : constant • Incremental Maintenance Cost : 0
Increment Benefit/Change (1) • Reduce Student Length of Study : Saving on Study Cost per student-month = • Tuition Fee = Rp 400.000 • Living Cost = Rp 400.000 • Transport Cost = Rp 80.000 • Other Study Supporting Cost = Rp 120.000 Duration (Baseline/ Midterm/ Final)= 0 / 1 / 2 year Average No. of Student = 100 / 110 / 120 • Cost Saving Year 3 & 4 = Rp 1.000.000 x 12 x 100 • Cost Saving Year 5 … = Rp 1.000.000 x 24 x 100
Increment Benefit/Change (2) • Reduce waiting time to get first job, and • More first job salary : (Baseline/ Midterm/ Final) Avg. waiting time get 1st job = 9 / 5 / 3 month Avg. First Job Salary = Rp 800 / 1.000 / 1.200 • Benefit : • Early Earning applay to Year 3 & 4 = 1.200.000.000 Rp (1.000.000 - 800.000) x (9-5) x 100 • Early Earning applay to Year 5 ….. = 2.400.000.000 Rp (1.200.000 - 800.000) x (9-3) x 100
Increment Benefit/Change (3) • Increase New Student Capacity : (Baseline/ Midterm/ Final) No. of Student Enrooled = 100 / 110 / 120 Tuition Fee (each student) = Rp 400.000/month • Earning Revenue to Institution (Benefit) = • Year 3 & 4 = 48.000.000 Rp 400.000 x (110 - 100) x 12 month • Year 5 ….. = 96.000.000 Rp 400.000 x (120 - 100) x 12 month
Assumption of EIRR Calculation • Project Duration = 4 year • Project Life Time = 20 year • Total Economic cycle = 24 year
EIRR Number (20 year Project life time) EIRR = 19.22 %
EIRR Number (15 year Project life time) EIRR = 16.5 %
Benefit NPV (20 & 15 year Project life time comparison) 15 year 20 year
Yang masih belum diperhatikan • Other investment (civil works) Sources Expenses(akan menadikan cost >>) • Student Dropout rate (jika << akan menjadikan benefit >>) • Others New Gerenrated Income(Ourput dari research yang “dijual”, Jasa pelayanan dari pengadaan alat baru, dls.)