1 / 13

Public Choice Theory A Case Study

Public Choice Theory A Case Study. Strategic Voting Behavior Microeconomics Dr. D. Foster. Public Choice Case Study: 1986 Congressional Race District #1 – State of Hawaii. Mid-summer 1986. Cec Heftel wants to run for Governor ! He is currently the US Representative for District 1.

deidra
Download Presentation

Public Choice Theory A Case Study

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Public Choice TheoryA Case Study Strategic Voting Behavior Microeconomics Dr. D. Foster

  2. Public Choice Case Study: 1986 Congressional RaceDistrict #1 – State of Hawaii

  3. Mid-summer 1986 • CecHeftelwants to run for Governor ! • He is currently the US Representative for District 1. • One problem: He must resign to run ! So, he resigns

  4. Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections • Need #1: Fill vacancy through Jan. 1987. • Need #2: Select nominees for general election. • Need #3: Elect Congressman in November. Solution: Combine #1 & #2 in September.

  5. Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections The Players Pat Saiki (R) MufiHanneman (D) Neil Abercrombie (D)

  6. Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections The Rules Anyone can vote in the primary. The Twist Saiki has no discernable competition.

  7. Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections A graphical look at public support M.H. N.A. P.S.

  8. Neil Abercrombie winsSpecial Election !!! Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections September Results: • Pat Saiki winsRepublican primary. • MufiHanneman winsDemocratic primary

  9. Mid-summer 1986 PrimarySeptember GeneralNovember Elections November Results: • Pat Saiki winselection !!!

  10. What happened ? • Republicans voted for Mufi in primary - the “weaker” candidate, and he wins!!! • Republicans& Democrats have an incentive to vote for their favorite in the special election; Neil wins!!! • Abercrombie supportersvoted for Saiki in general election - retribution against Mufi’s campaign.

  11. Debrief • Saiki won a second term (1988-1990). • Saiki ran for senate in 1990 - lost -- was selected to run SBA by Bush I. • Abercromie ran again, and won, in 1990. -- served until 2010. • Hanneman lost 1990 race for District 2. -- later served on Honolulu City Council. • CecHeftel lost bid for governorship.

  12. Debrief II • Abercromie wants to be governor in 2010. -- resigns from District 1 seat in 2010! • Hanneman becomes Honolulu mayor in 2004. -- re-elected in 2008. -- wants to be governor in 2010! • Abercromie wins primary and general elections. • Djou becomes interim Rep. for District 1. -- loses general election.

  13. Public Choice TheoryA Case Study Strategic Voting Behavior Microeconomics Dr. D. Foster

More Related