1 / 17

Historic Rolls

James Gillespie’s Primary School: Rising Rolls Marchmont and Sciennes Community Council / James Gillespie’s Parent Council 27 February 2013 Lindsay Glasgow Asset Planning Manager Children and Families. Historic Rolls. Population Aged 5-11 in the City of Edinburgh 1981-2010. Projected Rolls.

deiter
Download Presentation

Historic Rolls

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. James Gillespie’s Primary School:Rising RollsMarchmont and Sciennes Community Council / James Gillespie’s Parent Council27 February 2013Lindsay GlasgowAsset Planning ManagerChildren and Families

  2. Historic Rolls Population Aged 5-11 in the City of Edinburgh 1981-2010

  3. Projected Rolls CEC Projected Population Aged 5-11 & School Rolls

  4. Projected Rolls • 20% increase between 2012 and 2019 • Currently 25,900 pupils in CEC primary schools • Projected to increase by 5,200 by 2019 • Thereafter plateau, then start falling

  5. Rising Birth Rates Number of Births in the City of Edinburgh 1991-2001

  6. Rising Birth Rates • Number of births has risen since 2004 • First felt in P1 intakes in 2009 • P1 intakes expected to peak in 2015/16 • Total primary roll will peak in 2019

  7. Forecasting Intakes • Large variations at local level; peaks and troughs • No close correlation between births and P1 intakes • Changing trends: • Migration across the city • Housing market influence – less people moving • Private sector influence

  8. Additional Accommodation • Reuse of existing space, with condition upgrade • Additional, permanent classrooms being built at four schools for 2013 • Part of an estate wide project with a menu of four standardised designs

  9. P1 Catchment Numbers at James Gillespie’s Primary School

  10. JGPS catchment numbers • Increase in P1 catchment numbers at school of 69% over 6 years • Catchment numbers have been increasing • Number of placing requests to other schools decreasing

  11. Births and Non Denominational Catchment P1 Intakes

  12. James Gillespie’s 2013 P1 Intake • Catchment registrations currently 81 pupils • May have to create 3rd P1 class this year • Monitor numbers – eg 9 deferrals notified • School would be advised in May of proposed organisation as part of standard placement process

  13. South side area: Births & Catchment Numbers(James Gillespie's, Bruntsfield and South Morningside)

  14. James Gillespie's future intakes Options: • 60 pupils with 3 teachers – preferred option – becomes two classes at P2 • 66 pupils with 3 teachers – becomes two classes at P4 • 75 pupils – three classes at P1; subsequent intake would be 70

  15. Accommodation requirements • 2 classbases in the TUs potentially cover 4 years to deliver a permanent solution • An intake of 75 in 2013 would require 15 classes • An intake of 70 in 2014 would still be contained within 15 classes • An intake of up to 75 in 2015 would require the 16th class • An intake of 70 in 2016 would still be contained within the 16 classes

  16. Permanent solutions • New School to serve area? • Catchment review? • Permanent new accommodation ? • Annexe accommodation? What other ideas do the Parent Council have that they would like explored?

More Related