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COMMON MARKET THEORY . Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08. Introduction. If add free movement of all F of P to CU, result is common market (CM) So far assumed F of P immobile within CU & RoW EU more than a CU This is one theory that underlies the single (internal) market.
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COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08
Introduction • If add free movement of all F of P to CU, result is common market (CM) • So far assumed F of P immobile within CU & RoW • EU more than a CU • This is one theory that underlies the single (internal) market
(1) Heckscher - Ohlin (H O) theory • Factor price equalisation • occurs with free movement of goods, even without factor movements • perfect competition assumptions! • allocation of resources efficient • lab abundant country - lab price low (K price high). Country specialises where it has a factor endowment - raising the price of lab (while scarce K falls in price as demand low) • See handout for outline of H-O model
CU & factor price equalisation • before formation of CU tariffs & other barriers prevented FP equalisation • post- CU: move to FP equalisation, but not complete • non-traded goods • NTBs • but, if extend CU thru factor mobility, possibly achieve additional welfare benefits
(2) Free factor mobility • Assume 1. 1 factor (labour) mobile 2. 2 countries North (N) E.U. & South(S). E.U. S - labour abundant 3. Perfect competition
See diagram • a) labour force in N = ON LO labour force in S = OS LO Difference in real wage(w)=Wn- WS
real wage (w) w Wn Ws MPL South MPL North O N O S Lo North South
b) Emigration S to N = LO L1 Equalisation of real wage = (Wc) Workers in S attracted by higher wages to N
c) Welfare gain = area ABC in EU due to reallocation as the MPL (N) > MPL (S) before migration. Thus, increased production in N > fall in production in S as lab is reallocated
real wage (w) w Wn B C A Ws MPL South MPL North O N O S Lo L1 North South
Relevant today- EU15 v CEECs real wage (w) w Wn B C D Wc Wc A Ws MPL South MPL North O N O S Lo North L1 South
d) Redistribution of rewards - depends where migrant workers live & where their wages are spent • Lab remaining in S receive higher real wages, while real wages fall in N • If migrant workers reside & spend in N - N’s income rises by LoBCL1 & S’s income falls by LoACL1 • If ‘border’ workers live in S, N’s income rises by only BCD & S’s income rises by DCA
N is capital rich, K = On Ko In S, K = OsKo 3 Capital(K) mobility & labour immobile model
real interest rate (r%) r% B rs A rn C MPk South MPk North Y O N O S Ko
Free movement K from N to S (where higher r%) • Equilibrium K* (move Ko to K*) • R% = ru • Likely new investment • Welfare gain area ABC
real interest rate (r%) r% B rs A ru ru rn C MPk South MPk North Y O N O S K* Ko
Tax distortions (+ see case study) • Assume (above) no tax or equal tax on K in N & S • If tax rates on K differ, investors aim for low tax country IF • No tax in S • 50% tax on K in N (NO tax harmonisation) • MPkN shown by X-Y • New equilibrium K1 rather than K*
real interest rate (r%) r% B rs A X ru ru D rn C MPk South MPk North Y O N O S K* K1 Ko
Welfare loss ADE, compared with optimal allocation • BUT, if tax in S > tax in N (not shown) • Further K could flow to K rich N • Ie. Flow the ‘wrong way’
real interest rate (r%) r% E B rs A X ru ru D rn C MPk South MPk North Y O N O S K* K1 Ko
(4) Conclusions • 1 EU wage differentials exist • not full lab mobility • partial welfare gain BYZA • capital is more mobile • You should research EU wage & interest rate (eg. 10yr bond yields) convergence over the last 20yrs - see Eurostat
real wage (w) w Wn B Y C D Wc Wc Z A Ws MPL South MPL North O N O S Lo X North L1 South
2 Criticise perfect competition • would expect dynamic effects of integration to lead to mergers • 3 Neglects interaction of K&L • 4 Second best • 5 Tax distortions • 6 Effect of multinationals in the EU?