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I P v 6. Vision. Illusion. or. or. Technology & Progress Waves. Canals Railways Highways Telecommunications. GOODS. PEOPLE. INFORMATION. Industry Standards Drive Ubiquity. Television (1926). Electricity (1873). Microwave (1953). Radio (1905). Telephone (1876). VCR (1952).
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I P v 6 Vision Illusion or or
Technology & Progress Waves Canals Railways Highways Telecommunications GOODS PEOPLE INFORMATION
Industry Standards Drive Ubiquity Television(1926) Electricity(1873) Microwave(1953) Radio(1905) Telephone(1876) VCR(1952) Automobile(1886) PC(1975) Internet(1975) 100 80 60 Percentage of Ownership 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Years Since Introduction
Internet Generations 1G 104 Pioneers Email, FTP 9.6 Kbps Gov. Internet 2G 109 Innovators WWW 33 Kbps Public Internet 3G 1038 EveryOne Everything Wireless, Streaming Media, Peer-2-Peer 1 Mbps + Global Internet IPv4 ??? NCP DIAL-UP INTERNET ALWAYS-ON NEW INTERNET ARPANET INTERNET
Wireless Generations Analog Digital Wideband Wide Area Network (~10km) 1G AMPS NMT TACS 2G GSM, PDCTDMA,CDMA 3G WCDMA, EDGE CDMA2000 4G Combined Devices And Services Local Area Network (~50m) WLAN CT1 DECT, PHS Personal Area Network (~20m) “wire” Bluetooth InfraRed
Next Generation Ubiquity Peer-2-Peer Man Machine Machine Growing Emerging Notifications IPsensors Alarm Telemetry Man Fax Computer TeIephony Integration Home Banking Email Voice Voice Control VoiceMail Maturing Growing
Industry Integration / Intersection mobility 3G/mobileInternet mobile/mobile MMM New Telecoms Industry Wireline ISDN WAP Telecom Industry Internet PSTN Carrier class PC-WAN WWW PC-LAN TheConverged Industry PC/Servers desk top computing Computer Industry main frames electronic publishing and entertainment NEWbattle ground Media Industry
Industry Integration / Intersection mobility 3G/mobileInternet mobile/mobile MMM New Telecoms Industry Wireline ISDN WAP Telecom Industry Internet PSTN Carrier class PC-WAN WWW PC-LAN PC/Servers desk top computing TheConverging Industry Computer Industry main frames electronic publishing and entertainment NEXTbattle ground Media Industry P2P Applications White Goods Industry Car, Airlines Industry
Watch with a sense of humour Some pictures can be shocking!
The Future of the Internet The IETF was divided over the Future of the Internet ! Garage Mentality Band-Aids & Short-term Fixes! Becoming Permanent Fixes! Stovepipe Syndrome! The Packet Switching Technology is Suffering!
The Future of the Internet NAT EXPERTS created the NAT Roulette Digital Divide Instead of Digital Ubiquity DIAL
The Future of the Internet NATs: Peeping Holes
To NAT or not to NAT NAT over NAT
The Future Cutlture NATs: Holes for Shipworm Culture
The Future of the Internet Unique Addresses?
The Future of the Internet Peer-to-peer Model? End-to-end Traversal Model?
The Future of the Internet Always-On Service
The Future of the Internet Application Independence
From Client / Server Model to Peer-2-Peer Species work better together! Server Client
IMAGINE ! Imagine IPv4 had 128 bit Address Space No second chance to fix the Internet! Imagine NATs were Introduced in 1991 www The WEB would have not been successful!
’’Tunneling” ’’Dual Stack – Will it Scale” IPv4 IPv6
‘Mobility - as long as you are connected” Where is my IPv4 Addr?
Can you do 3 things in ONE GO? e2e Communication e2e Security Mobility
The Internet Has Met Its Enemy! It‘s called QoS!
The Internet has met its Serious Enemies Keep (Last Building in Castle to Fall) Moat / Main Gate Outer Perimeter Controlling Castle Access Inner Perimeter Stronghold, Higher Walls produce containment area Between Inner / Outer Perimeters They are called Security, Privacy, Viruses, Hackers and Governments!
The Internet has met other Serious Enemies The Internet is still a Research Network!
UNEVEN DIFFUSION OF TECHNOLOGY WORLD 8 % USA 54% EU, JP 28% PHONE NETWORK: 1.2 Billion -> 20% ROW < 3% INTERNET USERS: 0.5 Billion -> 8% INTERNET HOSTS: 150 M Hosts -> 2% NO e2e : NOBODY KNOWS ! "The Internet has met its enemy, and its name is QoS"
Uneven Distribution of IPv4 Address Space 17% 74% 9%
G. Moor’s law: P = P2 G. Gilder’s law: B=B3 R. Metcalfe’s law: V=V2 IP law: IPv6=IPv4n Internet Growth Laws
Looking for Killer Apps? World Wide Wireless From WEB ….to WAP!?
Future of the Internet Chicken & Egg ? Impossible Triangle ?
Rejuvenating the Decaying Internet IPv6 is a young lady? IPv6 NAT IPv4
IPv6 Is Not Only Unlimited Address Space QoS Flow Bits? Reliability Simplicity ... ... Dynamic Routing Flexible Renumbering STRING Multicast v6 Transition Tool Box of Technology PERLS e2e Security Mobile IPv6 Autoconfiguration Plug & Ping End-2-end Transparency
IPv6 Expected Benefits May be QoS? Return to Simplicity ... ... Hierachy M&A NEW Push v6 No Flag Day Generation Apps e-Money Seamless Mobility Low Cost Admin & Manage VoIP-P2P-GRID Phase-Out NATs
Homo-Computiens Homo-Coms Homo-Holes Homo-Ambiants 3G Bell-Head NAT-Head 2G NET-Head Legacy P2P/Push
100% IPv6 readiness by 2005 • Prime Mister of Japan Yoshiro Mori • Korean MIC followed Japan Feb 23, 2001 • The 7th Japan-China Regular Bilateral Consultation Dec 2001
The European Commission Formed an IPv6 Task Force in March 2001 • Commissioner Erkki Liikanen • Recommendations Reports Jan 2002 www.ipv6tf.org • 6NET & Euro6IXLarge-Scale Testbeds34 M€. • EuroChina 2002: IPv6 – Wireless Clear roadmap towards IPv6!
v6 Roadmap Scenaria IPv6 Deployment Address Transparency IPsec FOG Issues Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Successful Restored e-2-e e-2-e works Clears! Intranet, Proxies & Firewalls may remain Complete Failure Recycling IP Addresses Limited Noticeable Fog Generalised use of NAPT, RSIP? Exhaustion NAT-over-NAT Broken Permanet Thick Fog NATs between even ISPs
The Internet Tidal Wave Early conclusion Internet Growth IPv6 + Wireless + Always-On + Info Soft Appliances Internet 2002 is still a baby! 100 IP Adds/person!
Yv4 The Lobster Syndrom! The Yv4 Impact! At the beginning, it feels Comfortable!
The New Internet IPv4 1 billion + Connected Devices IPv6 NCP World Wide Wireless IP Evolution WWW Email @ 100m 2002 1969 2000 2001 2003 2005 1983
I P v 6 INVENTING THE or FUTURE