1 / 20

Migrants' Illegal Economic Activities in the Czech Republic: The Delphi Survey

This research project explores the forms, reasons, impacts, and future development of migrants' illegal economic activities in the Czech Republic. It provides insights into the source countries, sectorial structure of illegal labor, and policy measures to combat illegal immigration. The findings highlight the need for information dissemination, legislative simplification, and stricter sanctions.

dennishawkins
Download Presentation

Migrants' Illegal Economic Activities in the Czech Republic: The Delphi Survey

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMIC ACTIVITES IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC (THE DELPHI SURVEY) Dušan Drbohlav Lenka Lachmanová Charles University in Prague Faculty of Science Department of Social Geography and Regional Development drbohlav@natur.cuni.cz

  2. Results based on:The research project done for The Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs of the Czech Republic: „International Migration and Migrants´ Illegal/Irregular Activities: The Czech Republic in a Broader European Context“see: www.geography.cz/illegal.htmandThe research programme No. MSM 0021620831 of the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sport of the Czech Republic

  3. THE DELPHI METHOD • „A procedure to obtain the most reliable consensus of opinion of a group of experts … by a series of intensive questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feedback“ • Anonymity and no direct contact between respondents • Forms of the Delphi method: a) Conventional Delphi - basic principles + statistical presentation of answers, used for predicting future development, based on a consensus among experts b) Policy Delphi - to analyse policy problems, focus upon policy or strategical measures • Conditions that support applying the Delphi: • Complexity of the research problem (different policy fields involved) • When objective data are lacking • When designing a common future scenario

  4. THE DELPHI SURVEY 2005 - 2006 • Small-scale research of two rounds (n=32,23) • Conventional + Policy Delphi methods • FIRST ROUND (November-February 2005/2006) –32 respondents (62 were contacted) • SECOND ROUND (May-June 2006) - 23 respondents • Respondents´ professional background: • 13 academic sphere • 7 GOs • 7 NGOs • 2 representatives of international organizations (IOM, UNHCR) • 1 politician • 1 entrepreneur • 1 representative of Trade Unions

  5. THE DELPHI SURVEY 2005- 2006 SELECTED RESEARCH QUESTIONS • What forms of migrants´ illegaleconomic activities do we have in the Czech Republic? • Why do we have them? • Who are illegal immigrants? • How many illegal immigrants stay in the Czech Republic? How many of them may come in the future? • What impacts do migrants´ illegal economic activities have on the country of destination, the employer, the immigrant himself/herself and the country of origin? • What important measures should be applied to eliminate (to successfully combat) illegal/irregular immigration? • Future development?

  6. FORMS OF MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES (Delphi II, n=22)

  7. REASONS FOR MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES (Delphi II, n=23)Scale from 1 to 5 (1 = for key reason, ..., 5 = for unimportant reason)

  8. MOST IMPORTANT SOURCE COUNTRIES (in terms of the probable amount of „their“ illegal workers in the Czech Republic)

  9. SECTORIAL STRUCUTRE OF FOREIGN ILLEGAL LABOUR (Delphi II, n=20)

  10. ESTIMATION OF SIZE OF FOREIGN ILLEGAL LABOUR (Delphi I, n=27)

  11. MOST SIGINIFICANT POSITIVE IMPACTS OF MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMICACTIVITIES ON THE CZECH REPUBLIC (Delphi II)

  12. MOST SIGINIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACTS OF MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMICACTIVITIES ON THE CZECH REPUBLIC (Delphi II)

  13. DEVELOPMENT OF MIGRANTS´ ILLEGAL/IRREGULAR ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OVER TIME (Delphi I, n=27)

  14. FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF MIGRANTS´ILLEGAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES IN GIVEN ECONOMIC SECTORS (Delphi II, n=22)

  15. POLICY GOALS TO BE ACHIEVED (Delphi II, n=23) - in terms of their desirability • Rating of 47 goals in terms of their desirability • Scale from 1=very desirable to 5=very undesirable

  16. POLICY GOALS TO BE ACHIEVED (Delphi II, n=23) - in terms of their feasibility • Rating of 47 goals in terms of their feasibility • Scale from 1= easily feasible to 5= strongly unfeasible

  17. POLICY GOALS TO BE ACHIEVED (Delphi II) - important goals to apply • The most desirable goals which are easily feasible

  18. POLICY MEASURES TO BE APPLIED ON THE EU-LEVEL (Delphi II, n=21) • The most important measures on the EU-level

  19. CONCLUSIONS I • Small consensus among experts in assessing amount, structure and future development of illegal immigration in the Czech Republic • Convergence in opinions: • Assessing negative as well as positive impacts of illegal economic activities of foreigners • „Dominance“ of Ukrainians • Significant presence of illegal immigrants in construction • Increase of the volume of illegal immigrants working in the household services in the near future • Criticising labour market restrictions imposed by “old” EU countries concerning workers from the „new“ EU-countries

  20. CONCLUSIONS II • Convergence in desirable solution of illegal economic activities of immigrants: • More harmonization • More information • More flexible and simple legislation • Harder controls and sanctions (for corruption, illegality etc.) • An effective policy is thus based on spreading information, increasing flexibility, simplifying legislation and stricter sanctions…

More Related