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Measuring the Effect of Freshman Mentoring on Retention. Joe Jurczyk Stephanie Triplett Cleveland State University Presentation at 2004 EERA Annual Meeting February 12, 2004. Freshman Year Experience.
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Measuring the Effect of Freshman Mentoring on Retention Joe Jurczyk Stephanie Triplett Cleveland State University Presentation at 2004 EERA Annual Meeting February 12, 2004
Freshman Year Experience • In terms of keeping students enrolled at a school (retention), the freshman year represents the period in a student’s academic life when he or she is most likely to leave an institution (Levitz, Noel, & Richter, 1999).
Freshman Year Experience Barriers to education are identified by Cross (1981) as coming in three forms: • institutional • situational • dispositional
Freshman Year Experience Programs • pre-college programs • bridge programs • mentoring programs • development education programs • counseling • academic skills improvement • special services
Mentoring Programs • Mentoring programs couple a student with a faculty or staff member who can provide the student with assistance in their academic endeavors
Mentoring Program (study) Program in this study: • Voluntary • Monthly Events • Regular communication between mentor/mentee • Approximately 100-150 mentees annually
Mentoring Program (study) Goals: • to increase institutional participation of incoming new students • to impact retention of these students
Mentoring Program (study) • Institutional Statistics: • Freshman retention: 63% (overall) • Range: • 67%: White, Asian-Americans • 58%: Hispanic • 53%: Black • 50%: Native American
Retention • Definition: In this study a student is considered retained for the Fall semester if he/she returns to the institution the following Fall semester. (i.e. second-year retention)
Research Question • Is there a relationship between participation in a freshman mentoring program and second-year retention independent of race, gender, age and standardized test scores?
Methodology Data Collection: • List of Mentees from Office of Student Life: • Student ID’s Demographics and Enrollment Information from Office of Institutional Research • Student ID’s • Test Score • Course Load • Gender • Age • Race • Semester Enrollment
Methodology • Ex post facto study • Basic Statistics • Logistic Regression
Logistic Regression • What is….. Logistic regression predicts a dichotomous (binary) variable from a combination of independent variables
Logistic Regression • Probability / Logit model ln((P/(1-P)) = a +bX where ln is the natural logarithm function P = the probability of the outcome being equal to 1 P/(1-P) = the odds of the outcome being equal to 1 a + bX = the linear combination of variables being tested
Graphic Representation • An Introduction to Logistic Regression
Logistic Regression Models Model 1 Returnfull=a0U + a1Mentee + a2Test + a3Hours + E Model 2 Returnfull=a0U + a1Mentee + a2Test + a3Hours + a4Male + a5Female+ a6Age + E Model 3 Return full=a0U + a1Mentee + a2Test + a3Hours + a4Male + a5Female+ a6Age + a7White +a8Black+a9Hispanic + a10Asian + a11Native + a12Unknown + a13NonRes + Ewhere U is a constant (unit vector) and E represents the error component.
Results – Logistic Regression (Return = dependent)Beta coefficients and model stats
Conclusions • Mentoring Participation does have a positive relationship with retention independent of age, gender, hours, test score, race • Model improves with more variables but still not significant at the .05 level
Limitations • One institution • No measurement of the degree of participation • Ex post facto
Future Research • Use more detailed participation information • Look at other FYE programs • Look at year-by-year • Experimental design
References – Freshman Year Experience • Levitz, R., Noel, L. & Richter, B. Strategic moves for retention success. (1999). New Directions for Higher Education, 108 (Winter), 31-49. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass. • Upcraft, M.L. & Gardner, J.N. (1989). The Freshman Year Experience. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
References – Logistic Regression • Hosmer, D.W. & Lemeshow, S. (2000). Applied Logistic Regression (2nd Edition). New York: John Wiley & Sons. • Menard, S. (2001). Applied Logistic Regression Analysis. Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications. • Whitehead,J. (n.d.) An Introduction to Logistic Regression. http://personal.ecu.edu/whiteheadj/data/logit/intro.htm
Contact Information • Presenters Joe Jurczyk : jjurczyk@csuohio.edu jurczyk@apk.net Stephanie Triplett: s.triplett@csuohio.edu Cleveland State University: http://www.csuohio.edu Institutional Research: http://www.csuohio.edu/iraa Department of Student Life: http://www.csuohio.edu/student-life