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Brazil Logistics and Transport National Plan

Brazil Logistics and Transport National Plan . Western Hemisphere Transport Initiative – WHTI IX Executive Committee Meeting. Kingston, Jamaica, August 22-24, 2006. Back to an old tradition at Ministry of Transport: long term planning

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Brazil Logistics and Transport National Plan

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  1. Brazil Logistics and Transport National Plan Western Hemisphere Transport Initiative – WHTI IX Executive Committee Meeting Kingston, Jamaica, August 22-24, 2006

  2. Back to an old tradition at Ministry of Transport: long term planning A more balanced transport modal split, in energy and economic terms Regional planning and transport planning integrated Logistics aspects to be considered (cost & time) - Inventory costs / Warehouse / Distribution / Just in Time Open to transport community and related sectors participation Productive sectors Users Transport operators States administrations (Planning and Transport departments ) Planning Process Principles

  3. Planning transport in Brazil: history & analysis GIS developed for transport planning Transport planning & regional planning Macroeconomic forecasts and transport modeling - supply x demand analysis  projects with economic rationale Projects with political rationale Logistic and Transport National Plan – PNLT Report Methodology

  4. PRODEST – Program for Development of Transport Sector, by GEIPOT, a public company linked to Ministry of Transport, 1986 Integration and Development “Axis” Study, by Ministry of Planning / BNDES, the national development bank, 1999 Studies done by several States: Bahia, São Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul, Minas Gerais Other Ministries (Agricultural, Development, Tourism) studies Private sector studies Transport regulatory agencies studies • Planning transport in Brazil: • history & analysis

  5. 2.1. Today's demand Traffic generation zones (production & attraction / internal & external trips), including primary, secondary e tertiary sectors Regional & technological dynamics characterization (integration & complementarities) Freight & passengers’ traffic volumes identification 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

  6. 2.2. Tomorrow’s demand Information forPPAs 2008-11 e 2012-15 (PPA = multiyear plan) Guidelines for PPAs 2016-19 e 2020-23 FIPE/USP macroeconomic forecast model, with regional specialists (economic research institute of University of São Paulo) Existing & potential economic activities Trends in changing existing production practices / areas (in terms of added value: from soy beam farms to soy oil processing plants, for instance) New production areas New areas for tourism increase / development New economic activities in already developed regions Complementarities & economic integration in IIRSA 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

  7. 2.3. Today’s supply Logistic & transport system characterization (physical, operational e technological) Highways / Railways/ Waterways / Coastal Navigation Ports / Airports Transference between modes – integrated multimodal terminals Warehouses Existent projects inventory 3 government levels – federal, state, city Private sector 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

  8. Transport network as mandatory for territorial re-organization in Brazil Traffic zones = IBGE’s 558 geographical micro-regions (Brazil statistical institute) Macro-economics development scenarios Social-environmental development scenarios * in coordination with Ministry of Planning 3. Transport e Regional Planning *

  9. Base-year / Model calibration Future scenarios – 2010, 2015, 2025 FIPE/USP econometric model data: conversion for transport flows Sectors & products representing 80% of freight flows (in tones / in cost) Comparison between infra-structure supply x transport demand Critical points identification Lack of capacity (bottlenecks) Lack of coverage (missing links) Check list: critical points x projects inventory existent and eligible projects new projects required Projects with economic rationale portfolio 4. Transport modeling

  10. Open to transport community and related sectors participation Development driven Reducing regional disparities Occupation / re-organization of territory National security New opportunities for IIRSA integration 5. Projects with political rationale

  11. Historic Methodology Guidelines for implementation Selected projects portfolio Costs / funding Political & environmental sustainability Priorities and implementation schedule Projects synergies, including with other sectors GIS updating & reliability mechanisms Planning process consolidation in Ministry of Transport 6. Logistic and Transport National Plan PNLT Report

  12. Agreement Min. Defense / Min. Transport: CENTRAN (transport study center) Work start: February 2006 Conclusion: 15 December 2006 Socioeconomics studies and analysis: USP (FIA/FIPE) Consultants team Workshops (21Mar; 16Mai; 31Ago; 17Out) Regional meetings (from 03Jul to 08Ago) 03Jul: Manaus (AC, AM, RO, RR) 17Jul: São Paulo (SP, MS) 18Jul: Florianópolis (PR, RS, SC) 24Jul: Rio de Janeiro (ES, RJ) 25Jul: Belo Horizonte (DF, GO, MG, MT) 31Jul: Recife (AL, PB, PE, RN) 01Ago:Salvador (BA, SE) 07Ago:Fortaleza (CE, PI) 08Ago:São Luís (AP, MA, PA, TO) PNLT presentation on a national meting: 19 December 2006 Present Status

  13. Thank you! • www.transportes.gov.br/pnlt • francisco.costa@transport.gov.br • marcelo.perrupato@transport.gov.br

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