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Learn about the concept of strategy, the strategic management process, competitive advantage, and the difference between emergent and intended strategies. Explore the music industry case of Napster and its impact on the industry. Discover the importance of understanding a firm's strategy, regardless of your role in the company.
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Part #1 The tools of Strategic Analysis Chapter #1 What is Strategy and the Strategic Management Process?
Learning Objectives • Define the concept of Strategy • Describe the strategic management process • Define competitive advantage and its relationship to firm performance • Describe the difference between emergent and intended strategies • Discuss the importance of understanding a firm’s strategy even if you are not a senior manager in a firm
Opening case: What has Napster wrought? • How do we buy music? • Is Napster good or bad for the music industry?
Music Down loaders • Napster today • KaZaA • eDonkey • Bit Torrent
Down Load for a fee • MusicNet site • AOL/TimeWarner, Berlesman, Emi, and Real Networks • Pressplay site • Universal, Sony • MusicNow site • Rhapsody (listen.com) site • iTunes site • Apple • Monthly fees and a per song charge
The music Industry • What is happening to our industry? • What is our competition going to do next? • How should we respond? • What can we do to make money in our business?
Strategy and the Strategic Management process • A firm’s strategy is defined as its theory about how to gain competitive advantages • A “good strategy” is a strategy that actually generates such advantages • Strategies are theories because they are based on how a firm thinks competitors, consumers and others will respond
Strategic planning process • Why should we plan? • Can we be successful without planning? • The process • Mission • Objectives • External & Internal Analysis • Strategic Choice • Strategic Implementation • Competitive Advantage
Mission Statements • Missions define both what a firm aspires to be in the long run, and what it wants to avoid in the mean time.
Anheuser-Busch Dell Ford Motor Company IBM The Oakland Raiders
What impact does a mission statement have on the company • No impact (Enron) • Integrity: We work with the customers and prospects openly, honestly and sincerely. When we say we will do something, we will do it; when we say we cannot or will not do something, then we won’t do it. • Positive impact (visionary firms) • Negative (Ben & Jerry’s)
Visionary firms • 3M , American Express, Boeing, Citicorp, Ford, General Electric, Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Johnson & Johnson, Marriott, Merck, Motorola, Nordstrom, Philip Morris, Proctor & Gamble, Sony, Wal-Mart, Walt Disney Are there any on this list that surprise
Ben & Jerry’s • Counter Culture • Compensation package • Industry mergers • Acquired by Unilever
Objectives • Specific • Measurable • Time • 3M objectives • Growth in earnings per share 10% per year • 27% return on employed capital • 30% of sales from newer products (4 years)
Low Quality objectives • Do not exist (dodge ball) • Not quantitative • Difficult to measure • Difficult to track over time
External and Internal Analysis • Chapter 2 • External Analysis • Threats and Opportunities • Chapter 3 • Internal Analysis • Strengths and Weaknesses
Strategic Choice • Business Level Strategies • Actions firms take to gain competitive advantages in a single market or industry • Two most common • Cost leadership (Chapter 4) • Product Differentiation (Chapter 5)
Strategic Choice • Corporate level strategies • Are actions firms take to gain competitive advantages by operation in multiple markets or industries simultaneously • Common Corporate level strategies • Vertical Integration (chapter six) • Strategic alliance strategies (chapter seven) • Diversification strategies (chapter eight) • Mergers and acquisition strategies (chapter 9)
Choosing a strategy • Supports the firm’s mission • Is consistent with a firm’s objectives • Exploits opportunities in a firm’s environment with a firm’s strengths • Neutralizes threats in a firm’s environment while avoiding a firm’s weaknesses
Strategy Implementation • Firm Strategies • Corporate Strategies • Other issues • Organizational Structure • Control Processes • Compensation Policy
Competitive Advantage • Competitive Advantage • When a firm is creating value in a market or industry in ways that few other competitors currently are: • Sustained Competitive Advantage • And when those competitors find it very costly to imitate these actions • Competitive parity • When a firm is creating value in a market or industry in ways similar to that of many of its competitors • Competitive disadvantage: • When a firm fails to create value in a market or industry in ways that at leas some of its competitors are:
How sustainable are competitive advantages? • Dennis Mueller (longitudinal study) • Firms that perform well in early time periods also performed well in later time periods • Geoffrey Waring • Some industries have competitive advantages that are easier to maintain • Information complex, require customers to know a great deal, require a great deal of research and development, significant economies of scale • Peter Roberts • Studied the pharmaceutical industry
Economic performance • WACC • Cost of Capital • Interest the firm must pay its debt holders • Cost of equity • Return the firm must promise its equity holders • Standard and Poor’s
Calculating WACC • Firm’s debt rating • Marginal Tax rate • Beta • Risk free and market rates of return • Information about a firm’s capital structure
Numerical example • Firms’ rating BBB 7.5% • Marginal tax rate 39% • After tax cost of debt is • (1-.39)(7.5) or 4.58%
Beta (how highly correlated the price of firm’s equity is in comparison to the overall stock market) Published for publicly traded companies (1.2) • Risk free rate of return historically has been three percent • Market rate of return 8.5 %
Capital asset pricing model • Cost of equity • Risk free rate of Return + (Market rate of return – Risk free)Beta • Plugging in the numbers • 3 + (8.5 – 3)*1.2 = 9.6
Capital Structure • Debt 1 million (20%) • Equity 4 million (80%) • Plugging in the numbers • 20%*(4.58) + 80%*(7.68) = 8.59
Accounting performance Profitability ratios • ROA • Profits after taxes/total assets • A measure of return on total investment in a firm. Larger is usually better • Return on Equity • Profits after taxes/total stockholders equity • A measure of return on total equity investment in the firm. Larger is usually better
More profitability ratios • Gross profit margin • (Sales – costs of goods sold)/Sales • A measure of sales available to cover operating expenses and still generate a profit. Larger is usually better. • Earnings per share • (profits after taxes-preferred stock dividends)/number of shares of common stock outstanding • A measure of profit available to owners of common stock. Larger is usually better
Still more profitability ratios • Price earnings ratio • Current market price per share/after tax earning per share • A measure of anticipated firm performance– high p/e ratio tends to indicate that the stock market anticipates strong future performance. Larger is usually better • Cash flow per share • (After-tax profits + Depreciation)/ number of common shares outstanding • A measure of funds available to fund activities above current level of costs. Larger is usually better
Liquidity ratios • Current ratio • Current assets/Current liabilities • A measure of the ability of a firm to cover its current liabilities with assets than can be converted to cash in the short run. Recommended in the range of 2 to 3 • Quick ratio • (Current assets – Inventory)/Current liabilities A ratio of 1 is thought to be acceptable in many industries
Leverage Ratios • Debt to assets • Total debt/Total Assets • A measure of the extent to which debt has been used to finance a firm’s business activities. The higher, the greater the risk of bankruptcy • Debt to equity • Total debt/Total equity • A measure of the use of debt versus equity to finance a firm’s business activities. Generally less than 1
1 more leverage ratio • Times interest earned • Profits before taxes and interest/total interest charges • A measure of how much a firm’s profits can decline and still meet its interest obligations. Should be well above 1
Activity ratios • Inventory turnover • Sales/Inventory • A measure of the speed with wich a firm’s inventory is turning over • Accounts receivable turnover • Annual credit sales/accounts receivable • A measure of the average time it takes a firm to collect on credit sales
One last activity ratio • Average collection period • Accounts receivable/average daily sales • A measure of the time it takes a firm to receive payment after a sale has been made
Enron turning debt into revenue • Shell Game • Three players • Enron, Bank, off-shore company owned by bank • Step 1 • Enron agrees to sell a large amount of oil and gas to off-shore company over time • Step 2 • Off-shore company agrees to pay Enron up front • Step 3 • Off-shore company turns over oil and gas contract to bank • Step 4 • Bank would sell it back to Enron for a fixed price over time
Oil and Gas trades cancelled each other out—since Enron bought back everything it sold (no oil or gas was even moved from Enron) • Enron obtained large upfront payment and paid back over time in effect a loan • Showed up as revenue to meet Wall Street’s performance expectations
Stake holders • Firm’s equity and debt holders • Suppliers • Customers • Employees • Communities • Agency problem • Competing goals
Emergent Vs. Intended Strategies • Intended strategy • Deliberate Strategy • Unrealized Strategy • Realized Strategy • Emergent strategy
Fed EX (Deliberate) • Johnson & Johnson (Baby Powder and Band Aids) • Marriott (airport food) • PEZ • Calvin Ball
Lebron James • Reebok and Adidas • 40 billboards • Michael Jordan • 2.5 million (5 years) • 2.6 billion in sales • Tiger Woods • 100 million (5 years) • What might be? • US market 8 billion
Why do you need to know about Strategy? • Studying strategy and the strategic management process can give you the tools you need to evaluate the strategies of firms that may employ you. • Once you are working for a firm, understanding that firm’s strategies, and your role in implementing those strategies, can be very important for your personal success. • You may be involved in the planning process for smaller and entrepreneurial firms
Mini case • Coke launches C2