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TIME SERIES CLASS 2. OUTLINE. Stationary Processes General Linear Processes - ARMA Non-linear Processes Multivariate ARMA Unit Root Processes Distribution of the Dickey Fuller Test Cointegration Engle Granger and Johansen Procedures. FORECASTING IN FINANCIAL MARKETS.
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OUTLINE • Stationary Processes • General Linear Processes - ARMA • Non-linear Processes • Multivariate ARMA • Unit Root Processes • Distribution of the Dickey Fuller Test • Cointegration • Engle Granger and Johansen Procedures
FORECASTING IN FINANCIAL MARKETS WHAT DO WE WANT TO FORECAST? • Returns or Prices • Dividends or Earnings or Volume • Volatility • Defaults or Rating Changes • Value at Risk • Liquidity