240 likes | 332 Views
Which Way Now? . February 15, 2013. Arabica Down Towards ICA Levels. Cents Per Pound. Source: Futuresource. Robustas Continue to Find Buyers, LIFFE Stocks Still in Decline. Cents Per Pound. Source: Futuresource.
E N D
Which Way Now? February 15, 2013
Arabica Down Towards ICA Levels Cents Per Pound Source: Futuresource
Robustas Continue to Find Buyers, LIFFE Stocks Still in Decline Cents Per Pound Source: Futuresource
Brazil Providing World Output Growth in 12/13, Global Surplus To Shrink in 13/14 Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Indonesia Seeing Recovery in 12/13 Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Vietnamese Harvest Delayed But 12/13 Crop Should be Close to a Record Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Colombian Production Perking Up Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Colombian Optimism Rising After Strong December / January Million 60 KG bags (Oct – Jan) Source: FNC
Weather Improving in Brazil, Favorable Outlook for 13/14 Off-Year Crop Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Brazilian Tree Count up Slightly 12/13 Billion Trees Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Brazilian Tree Density Roughly Level for Five Years Trees per Hectare Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Record Brazilian Yields in 12/13, Off-Year Yields Rising Faster than On-Year 60 KG Bags and KG Per Hectare Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Weak Brazilian Exports of Strong Crop Raising Fear of Delayed Sales Million 60 KG bags Source: ICO
Vietnam, Indonesia Picking Up Slack Million 60 KG bags (October - December) Source: ICO
Strong Robusta Volumes Behind Export Growth Million 60 KG bags (October – December) Source: ICO
Brazilian Stocks, Drawn Below 2 Million Bags, To See Reprieve After 12/13 Crop Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Steady Producer Demand Driving Global Consumption Growth Million 60 KG bags Source: USDA, J. Ganes Consulting
Stockpiling of ICE Certified Arabicas Unabated Into February Million 60 KG bags Source: ICE
LIFFE Robusta Stocks Heading In the Opposite Direction As Roasters Adapt Million 60 KG bags Source: LIFFE
U.S. Stocks Buck Seasonal Trend to Decline in December Million 60 KG bags Source: ECF, GCA
Cash Market Rebounds in January Cents Per Pound Source: ICO
Arbitrage Narrows as Robustas Rise With Arabicas Falling Cents Per Pound Source: ICO
Speculators Shedding Shorts in January Net Thousands of Contracts and Cents Per Pound Source: CFTC, Futuresource
Questions? www.jganesconsulting.com