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Energy & Military Effectiveness: Changing How Energy is Considered in DoD Planning and Acquisition. David Bak SAIC supporting OUSD(AT&L)/Energy MORS P&E Special Meeting 30 Nov 2009. What’s Changed Since Last Year.
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Energy & Military Effectiveness: Changing How Energy is Considered in DoD Planning and Acquisition David Bak SAIC supporting OUSD(AT&L)/Energy MORS P&E Special Meeting 30 Nov 2009
What’s Changed Since Last Year • OSD(AT&L) issued guidance and tools for calculating the Fully Burdened Cost of Fuel in all acquisition program AoAs • https://acc.dau.mil/GetAttachment.aspx?id=285803&pname=file&aid=43783&lang=en-US • https://acc.dau.mil/CommunityBrowser.aspx?id=318097&lang=en-US • Navy and Marine Corps leadership have publicly committed to making systemic changes in operational energy • FBCF and Total Ownership Cost in ALL acquisition programs and procurements • Global 09 Navy wargame challenged old assumptions on operational energy vulnerabilities to US forces • OSD(AT&L), JS J4 and Navy Energy Coordination Office collaborating on two case studies to vet Energy Efficiency KPP and FBCF use • OSD Policy committed to including energy logistics risks in Defense Planning Scenarios for first time – can’t just assume fuel will get there • NATO Research & Technology Organization exploratory team on Energy Analysis
DoD Energy - Root Cause Analysis • How rigorously have we assessed DoD’s energy problems? • How did those problems come about? • Where were the choices made that created them? Have we looked across stove-pipes as well as down them? • What assumptions, analysis or decisions should be revisited to guide our energy plans? • Through what process should we decide where to spend our marginal dollar on energy improvements? • How should energy investments compete with other issues for resources? How important is energy to core business? • How do we best reconcile improving capability, reducing costs and meeting mandates in energy? Moving from point solutions to analytically-informed prioritization & resourcing
Where Energy Really Needs to Play Differently • Build fuel delivery, protection and vulnerability risk into Service & Joint campaign models, wargames, Defense Planning Scenarios (DPS’) and force planning builds (MSFDs) • Examine RED threats to “tail” much more realistically Service & Joint Force Planning • Realistically constrain operational fuel demand requirements to improve endurance, flexibility, mobility and supportability • Develop the Energy KPP methodology for all “materiel solutions” JCIDS • Use the planning scenarios to set programs’/platforms’ fuel demand objective and threshold metrics • Require SAEs-PEOs-PMs to apply the Fully Burdened Cost of Fuel (FBCF) to TOC estimates to better inform tradespace decisions • Incentivize better relationship btw the PMs, analysts, and loggies Acquisition Slow, steady progress so far – proof will be in RFPs