250 likes | 394 Views
Mexico Bordering on Success?. Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University. Six years ago . Catastrophic Devaluation of the Peso Significant Capital Outflows Skyrocketing Inflation Collapse of the Domestic Economy Unprecedented Political Crisis. Ad Augusta per Angusta.
E N D
MexicoBordering on Success? Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University
Six years ago ... • Catastrophic Devaluation of the Peso • Significant Capital Outflows • Skyrocketing Inflation • Collapse of the Domestic Economy • Unprecedented Political Crisis
Ad Augusta per Angusta • Monetary and Fiscal Discipline • Banking Crisis: Foreign Investment • Avoid Scandals • Democratic Change
Results • Solid Growth Record
Real GDP% Change Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Results • Solid Growth Record • Decline in Inflation Rate
Inflation Rate Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Results • Solid Growth Record • Decline in Inflation Rate • Decline in Interest Rates
Interest Rates28-day CETES Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Results • Rapid Economic Growth • Decline in Inflation Rate • Decline in Interest Rates • Increase in Employment
Employment(Thousands of IMSS Members) Source: INEGI www.inegi.gob.mx
Results • Rapid Economic Growth • Decline in Inflation Rate • Decline in Interest Rates • Increase in Employment • Strong Peso
Exchange RatePesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Results • Rapid Economic Growth • Decline in Inflation Rate • Decline in Interest Rates • Increase in Employment • Strong Peso • Strong International Sector
International TradeBillions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Zedillo’s Legacy • Rapid Economic Growth • Decline in Inflation Rate • Decline in Interest Rates • Increase in Employment • Strong Peso • Strong International Sector • Democratic Change
Bordering on Success? • Weak U.S. economy • Overvalued Peso
Inflation Differential vs. Exchange Rate 287.0 Inflation 201.5 Exchange Rate Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Foreign Direct InvestmentBillions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx
Bordering on Success? • Weak U.S. economy • Overvalued Peso • Fiscal Reform
Bordering on Success? • Weak U.S. economy • Overvalued Peso • Fiscal Reform • Fox and Congress
Bordering on Success? • Weak U.S. economy • Overvalued Peso • Fiscal Reform • Fox and Congress • Crisis Abroad
Bordering on Success? • Weak U.S. economy • Overvalued Peso • Fiscal Reform • Fox and Congress • Crisis Abroad • War on Poverty
MexicoBordering on Success? Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University
MexicoBordering on Success? Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University www.trinity.edu/jgonzal1