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Arctic Naval Security. Colin Manson Director Manson Oceanographic Consultancy cr.manson@mansonoceanconsulting.com. Arctic Naval Security. Global Climate Change Arctic Ice – When will it disappear? Geo-Political Issues Access to Resources Northern Sea Route, North West Passage and Trade
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Arctic Naval Security Colin Manson Director Manson Oceanographic Consultancy cr.manson@mansonoceanconsulting.com
Arctic Naval Security Global Climate Change Arctic Ice – When will it disappear? Geo-Political Issues Access to Resources Northern Sea Route, North West Passage and Trade Oceanographic and Acoustic Implications Military Aspects
Arctic Naval Security Global Climate Change
Arctic Naval Security Kattesov et al: Arctic sea-ice change: a grand challenge of climate science, Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 56, No. 200, 2010
Arctic Naval Security Global Climate Change Arctic Ice – When will it disappear? Geo-Political Issues Access to Resources Northern Sea Route, North West Passage and Trade Oceanographic and Acoustic Implications Military Aspects
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Arctic Naval Security United States Russian Federation Canada Greenland (Denmark) Iceland
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Arctic Naval Security Arctic Council Russian Federation United States Canada Denmark – Representing Greenland and the Faroe Island Norway Sweden Finland 6 Organisations Representing Indigenous Peoples Observer States
Arctic Naval Security Arctic Council Russian Federation United States Canada Denmark – Representing Greenland and the Faroe Island Norway Sweden Finland 6 Organisations Representing Indigenous Peoples Observer States United Nations Law Of the Sea (UNCLOS) Articles 76-78 – Definition of Continental Shelf Lomonosov Ridge (Ellesmere Island to New Siberian Island via the North Pole
Arctic Naval Security Global Climate Change Arctic Ice – When will it disappear? Geo-Political Issues Access to Resources Northern Sea Route, North West Passage and Trade Oceanographic and Acoustic Implications Military Aspects
Arctic Naval Security Distances and Times from the Far East to Rotterdam Based on 2011 transit times with some ice present.
Arctic Naval Security Global Climate Change Arctic Ice – When will it disappear? Geo-Political Issues Access to Resources Northern Sea Route, North West Passage and Trade Oceanographic and Acoustic Implications Military Aspects
Arctic Naval Security Vavrus et al (2012). Twenty - First - Century Arctic Climate Change in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 2696-2710.
Arctic Naval Security MilitaryAspects Search and Rescue Integrity of national borders Protection of off-shore installations from terrorist attack Suppression of smuggling or piracy activity Drug interdiction Monitoring of the marine environment
Arctic Naval Security Vavrus, S. J., Holland, M. M., Jahn, A., Bailey, D. A., & Blazey, B. A. (2012). Twenty - First - Century Arctic Climate Change in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 2696-2710. Holland, M. .., & Stroeve, J. (2011). Changing seasonal sea ice predictor relationships in a changing Arctic climate. Geophysical Research Letters, L18501. Lenton, T. M. (2012). Arctic Climate Tipping Points. Ambio , 10-22. Vasilyev, V. .., Selin, V. .., & Tereshchenko, E. .. (2011). Socioeconomic consequences of anticipated climate change in the Arctic. Regional Research of Russia, 128-132. Kattsov, V. .., Ryabinin, V. .., Overland, J. .., Serreze, M. .., Visbeck, M. .., Walsh, J. .., et al. ( 2010). Arctic sea - ice change : a grand challenge of climate science. Journal of Glaciology, 1115-1121.
Arctic Naval Security Thank You Colin Manson Manson Oceanographic Consultancy cr.manson@mansonoceanconsulting.com www.mansonoceanconsulting.com Lee-on-the Solent, UK