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Outline of the Presentation; Household Labour Force Survey New Developments on Turkish LFS

National Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Tuna KEMALİ 10 September 2013 Ankara - Turkey.

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Outline of the Presentation; Household Labour Force Survey New Developments on Turkish LFS

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  1. National Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Tuna KEMALİ10 September2013 Ankara - Turkey

  2. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Outline of the Presentation; • Household Labour Force Survey • New Developments on Turkish LFS • Main LFS Results of Turkey, 2012 • Some LFS Indicators in Other Countries

  3. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • Household Labour ForceSurvey

  4. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey GENERAL STRUCTURE • Periodicity of data collection: Monthly • Geographical coverage: Whole country • Population coverage: Non-institutional population • Age coverage: 15+ age for labour force 5+ age for education • Half panel design: There are 4 interviews (wave) in 1.5 year for the household which was taken the sample. • Data collection: Computer assisted personal interview (CAPI) • Definitions: In line with ILO norms and standarts (13. ICLS decisions)

  5. After 2005-Monthly dissemination Survey Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 February Data Disseminetion Period March April National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • Data dissemination: Every month tree-month result are published by moving average. It is taken average of related (last) tree-month results’ factors. The factors are calculated according to the non-institutional projekted population of the middle of the tree-month. Every month this moving averages are published by the name of the middle month of tree-month.

  6. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey BACKGROUND • Before 1985 • Survey applied at different intervals. • Because of the diffrences in the geographical area covered, definition, concept, variables and classifications used, the results were not comparable within time. • 1988-1999 • Survey started to be applied in line with ILO norms and standards from 1988 (13th ICLS). • Bi-annual (April and October) application • Beginning from 1997 -CAPI • 2000-2003 • Monthly application (using a fixed week in each month) • Quarterly and annual estimations • From 2004 • Harmonization with EU Regulations • New questions added into the questionnaire • Sample size was increased to produce NUTS2 level estimations • From 2005 results are published every month depending on the moving three months.

  7. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey PURPOSE • Employment, • Economicactivity, • Occupation, • Status in employment • Hoursworkedetc. • Personsunderemployment, • Time-relatedunderemployment • Inadequateemployment • Unemployment, • Duration, • Reason, • Occupationsoughtetc.

  8. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey COVERAGE • Geographical area covered: All settlements in Turkey have been covered in sample selection. • Urban areas: Settlements with a population of 20 001 and over are defined as URBAN. • Rural areas: Settlements with a population of 20 000 or less are defined as RURAL. • Sampling unit:Address • Observation unit:Household

  9. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey SAMPLING SIZE • Monthly sample size, 14 000 households • Quarterly sample size, 42 000 households • Yearly sample size, 170 000 households SAMPLING FRAME • National Address Database and Address Based Population Registration System have been used since 2009. • All address changes are instantly updated at this system.

  10. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey DATA DISSEMINATION • Press Releases: At ten o’clock on the fifteenth day of each month • Publication: Disseminated at annual level • Micro Data: From 2004, micro data of the survey is given as CD format. • Internet: At the same time with press release • Time series Excel tables • Dynamic database: At the same time with press release

  11. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • New Developments on Turkish LFS

  12. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT • Starting from February 2010, seasonally adjusted main labour force indicators are calculated and published with the concerned press release. • Time series start from 2005. • Seasonal adjustment are made only for main labour force indicators; • Labour force • Employed • Agriculture • Construction • Services • Unemployed • Non-agricultural unemployment • Young unemployment • Labour force participation rate • Employment rate • Unemployment rate

  13. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey DIFFERENCES of EU LABOUR FORCE SURVEY • Continuous survey • Reference week, the first week of each month starting with Monday and ending with Sunday. • According to EU regulation, HLFS must be carried out as a continous survey covering every week of the year as “reference week”. • This means that annual sample size is distributed to 52 weeks. • In the current situation, there is a fixed reference week for every month in Turkish LFS. (Annual sample size is divided into twelve). • Definition of unemployed • In related EU regulation; “4 weeks” criterion is used for the duration of job search. • In Turkish LFS, questions on job search are asked both for “4 weeks” and “3 months” • Micro data are sent to Eurostat by 4 weeks criterion, • National estimations are published by 3 months criterion. • For unemployment rates calculated by these two criteria, there is 1 to 2 percentage point differences.

  14. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • It was decided to pass to the continuous LFS since 2014 January. • During the whole year of 2013 current LFS and continuous LFS will be applicated in parallel. For this parallel implimentation the continuous LFS started in January 2013. Data entry programme is Harzemli developed by TURKSTAT. • “4 weeks” criterion will use in LFS for the duration of job search in 2014. • Turkey, as a member of ILO’s Working Group for the “Advancement of Employment and Unemployment Statistics”, would like to support to review some definitions and coverages of labour market statistics in 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians (ICLS) which will be held in October 2013.

  15. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • MainLFS Results of Turkey, 2012

  16. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Main LFS Results of Turkey • LFS Indicators • 15 years old and over • Labour force • Employed • Unemployed • Population not in labour force • Sectoral Distribution of Employment • Agriculture • Construction • Industry • Services • Employed persons by social security registration

  17. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Main indicators of Labour Force in Turkey, 2012 Source: LFS, Turkstat, 2012

  18. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Non-institutional population 73 604 Main LFS Results of Turkey 2012 15 years old and over 54 724 (74.3%) Labour force 27 339 (50%) Population not in labour force 27 385 (50%) Not seeking a job but working to start 1 994 (7.3%) Employed 24 821 (90.8%) Unemployed 2 518 (9.2%) Housewives 11 992 (43.8%) Education/training 4 409 (16.1%) Retired 3 795 (13.8%) Other 5 196 (19.0%)

  19. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  20. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  21. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  22. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey • Some LFS Indicators in Other Countries

  23. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  24. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  25. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  26. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

  27. National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementationof the2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey ThankYou...

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