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M id- A tlantic R egional A ssociation C oastal O cean O bserving S ystem. 1000 km Cape to Cape. RI. Cape Cod. CT. MA. NY. PA. NJ. MD. DC. DE. RAISING THE BAR IN THE MID-ATLANTIC: Moving MARACOOS Observations to Next Generation Forecasting and Product Development. VA.
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Mid- Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System 1000 km Cape to Cape RI Cape Cod CT MA NY PA NJ MD DC DE RAISING THE BAR IN THE MID-ATLANTIC: Moving MARACOOS Observations to Next Generation Forecasting and Product Development VA NC Gerhard Kuska, Carolyn Thoroughgood, Scott Glenn, Michael Crowley, Peter Moore Cape Hatteras
MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL DRIVERS Tropical Storms Climate Change Ocean Circulation Critical Habitat Northeasters Population Ports
Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System Merged 2011: 35 Co-PIs, 25 Institutions, 10 States (&DC), 111 Congr.districts MARACOOS’ MISSION: To seek, discover, share, and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean • Sustained regional observing networks a • Societal priorities drive development • MARACOOS supports the R&D continuum throughout the region
MARACOOS REGIONAL THEMES & SUCCESS STORIES 1) Maritime Operations – Safety at Sea 3) Water Quality – a) Floatables, b) Hypoxia, c) Nutrients 5) Energy – Offshore Wind 2) Ecosystem Decision Support - Fisheries 4) Coastal Inundation - Flooding
Maritime Safety: U.S. Coast Guard Search and Rescue example Mid-Atlantic Operational Data Flow to SAROPS SAROPS User Interface SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area:HF Radar= 12,000 km2 SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: HYCOM = 36,000 km2
Ecological Decision Support – Fisheries + Like Upwelling Our Approach: Develop statistical models using bottom trawl surveys and MARACOOS 3-D data to predict species distribution based on observed or forecasted MARACOOS 3-D fields. Hate Downwelling Downwelling Upwelling Downwelling Upwelling
Water Quality Data and Modeling to respond to 120+ million gallons of sewage released into the Hudson River following North River Wastewater Treatment Plant fire in NYC, July 2011
Coastal Inundation Chesapeake Inundation Prediction System (CIPS) Partners From Forecast • MATURING TECHNOLOGY • Regional scale atmospheric wind forecast model • Very high-resolution hydrodynamic models with land flooding • Very high-resolution land elevation data (LIDAR) • Emerging GIS and visualization capabilities for integrated, high-resolution pictures and products To Impact Bridging the Gap
Offshore Wind Energy High Resolution Atmospheric Forecast validated with HF radar Additional Radar Sites Spatial validation of Atmospheric Model with 13 MHz Multi-static HF Radar Array 2-Site Mono-static Coverage High Resolution Wind Resource 670 mhorizontal resolution Bi-static Geometries 2-Site Multi-static Coverage
Some successes, but… Big challenges lie ahead: • Growing needs of the stakeholders • Expectation to continue to build out the system (10-year BOP) • Fiscal future? (in & out of government) • Pressure to demonstrate value
Are we able to successfully execute R2O? 1. Research Operations/Application 2. Research ? Operations/Application 3. ResearchOperations/Application
Product Development Infrastructure Needed • User/Stakeholder Infrastructure • User Council • Product Groups • Stakeholder Liaison Service (Geographic and Theme-focused, and leveraged through partnerships) • Enhanced Cross-Regional focus – Regionally and through NFRA User Council Inund-ation EDS: Fish Water Quality Wind Energy Marine Safety
THANK YOU www.maracoos.orgwww.usnfra.org