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Accounts of resilience? Notun Bazaar Revisited

Accounts of resilience? Notun Bazaar Revisited Presentation of preliminary findings to workshop on Complex Crises: The Challenge of Evidence for Policy IDS, March 9-10 2010 Naomi Hossain (IDS), Bayazid Hasan, Mamun Rashid and Nabil Zuberi (BRAC Development Institute).

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Accounts of resilience? Notun Bazaar Revisited

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  1. Accounts of resilience? Notun Bazaar Revisited Presentation of preliminary findings to workshop on Complex Crises: The Challenge of Evidence for Policy IDS, March 9-10 2010 Naomi Hossain (IDS), Bayazid Hasan, Mamun Rashid and Nabil Zuberi (BRAC Development Institute)

  2. The background to the study • Follow up to Accounts of Crisis: DFID-funded rapid pilot study of the Triple F Crisis in March 2009 • Ambitions for ‘sentinel site’-style repeat visits • Crisis Watch network set up • Second round fieldwork February 2010 • Approach: running qualitative community case studies – Notun Bazaar as a ‘listening post’

  3. ‘People of the Broken River’: background to Notun Bazaar • Slum accommodating climate refugees from southern Bangladesh • Faced eviction on several occasions; structural vulnerabilities around land tenure • Good connections with party of current government • Relatively prosperous and settled (since late 1980s)

  4. 12 months in Notun Bazaar: how have these crises played out? • Food price volatility • Trends in readymade garments exports reinforced • Declining waste recycling industry • Institutional responses

  5. Local food prices, Feb-Aug 2009 Source: Focus group discussions with Notun Bazaar residents

  6. National food prices, 2005-9 Source: www.fao.org/giews/pricetool/ (accessed August 21st 2009)

  7. Responses to high food prices in February 2010 • No sense of crisis after a year of lower prices • Perceptions of hike as due to hoarding • - Expert observers say otherwise • Political responsiveness – a mixed blessing?

  8. Readymade garments exports: workers’ perspectives

  9. Trends in the readymade garments sector • Observed change mainly seasonal and longer-term trends – reinforced by GFC? • Workers’ perceptions that improved working conditions caused by militancy • Expert observers say otherwise • Moving up the value chain - overall gains for workers?

  10. Waste recycling industry • Bhangari business owners hit hard since February 2009 peak prices • Global industry that employs hundreds in Notun Bazaar • Undocumented but with likely welfare impacts

  11. Waste prices, 2008-2010 Source: Interview with Md Ibrahim, bhangari business owner

  12. Implications of waste recycling industry impacts • A resilient industry, with resilient workers • Trends in prices of recycled waste? • Implications for child labour

  13. Institutional change • Government and RMG subsidised rice • Community policing committee established • Microfinance NGOs withdrawn

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