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SI&E proposal Air Pollution & Climate. Proposers: IGAC - Kathy Law, Paul Monks, Sarah Doherty Background - future programmes to focus on addressing societal needs through thematic and fundamental research projects (IGAC Future Directions meeting (Royal Soc., London, Sept. 2009)
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SI&E proposalAir Pollution & Climate Proposers: IGAC - Kathy Law, Paul Monks, Sarah Doherty • Background - future programmes to focus on addressing societal needs through thematic and fundamental research projects (IGAC Future Directions meeting (Royal Soc., London, Sept. 2009) • Prime example: climate, air quality & health • A lot of interest from policy makers (AQ agencies, UNEP, Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Pollution, IPCC etc.)
Motivation: short-lived forcers ARE already key climate forcing agents Air Quality “regulated?” aerosols are the largest factors offsetting greenhouse gas forcing!
Forcing agents: Air Quality & Climate ‘AIR QUALITY’ ‘CLIMATE’ Trop O3 Black Carbon CO2 Halo Carbs CH4 N4O Aerosols (direct + indirect) “AQ”? Ravishankara (NOAA) • Regulation of certain short-lived forcers (or precursors) could provide short-term climate relief (next 5-20 years) • Huge benefits for health and climate (e.g. black carbon from cook stoves - major source of illness/deaths & emissions) • AQ and climate policies & their impacts need to be examined together and based on sound scientific knowledge
SI&E proposalAir Pollution & Climate In parallel: Synthesis of Role of Air Pollutants in Climate Change: the scientific basis (2010-2011) • Synthesize results coming out of IGBP core projects (IGAC, AIMES, iLEAPS, SOLAS, …), cross-cutting initiatives (AC&C, ACPC), international assessments (e.g. UNEP report on BC/ozone), etc. • Identify and start to “quantify” uncertainties (new metrics) Integration & Exploration (2010-2012) • Build bridges across to IHDP (health), WCRP (climate) and policy makers • Define an action plan for future project(s) based on key knowledge gaps and uncertainties
SI&E proposalAir Pollution & Climate Proposed plan • Meeting of core group (still tbd), autumn 2010 - representatives from IGBP core projects, IHDP, WCRP, policy makers to work on synthesis • Publish synthesis in high level journal (early 2011) • Plan for a joint IGBP-WCRP-IHDP-policy workshop in early-mid 2011 with aim to define an action plan for next 2-4? Years Request seed funds for these activities from IGBP but would also aim to spin up new projects