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Political Investment: Remittances and Elections

Political Investment: Remittances and Elections. Angela O’Mahony University of British Columbia. Migrants as Economic and Political Actors. Migration: 190 million migrants worldwide Migrants maintain ties with home countries Economic Engagement: Remittances ($167 bn) Political Engagement:

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Political Investment: Remittances and Elections

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  1. Political Investment: Remittances and Elections Angela O’Mahony University of British Columbia

  2. Migrants as Economic and Political Actors Migration: 190 million migrants worldwide Migrants maintain ties with home countries • Economic Engagement: Remittances ($167 bn) • Political Engagement: • Persists over time • Actively courted by home country politicians Migrants’ economic influence  political influence?

  3. How might remittances reflect a political logic? H1: Remittances increase in election years H2: Remittances increase more when the incumbent does not run H3: Election effect is negatively correlated with home country economic wealth H4: Election effect is negatively correlated with incidence of natural disasters H5: Election effect is positively correlated with home country economic growth

  4. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  5. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  6. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  7. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  8. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  9. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  10. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  11. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  12. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  13. DV: Remittances as a % of GDPSample: 109 countries, 1990-2005

  14. Conclusion • Migrants remit more in election years • But political remittances are context-specific Future Work • Sub-national elections • State response

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