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Aviation Weather Testbed

Aviation Weather Testbed. Jason Levit Aviation Weather Center Kansas City, MO Jason.Levit@noaa.gov. Aviation Weather Testbed. AWT Primary Focus.

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Aviation Weather Testbed

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  1. Aviation Weather Testbed Jason Levit Aviation Weather Center Kansas City, MO Jason.Levit@noaa.gov

  2. Aviation Weather Testbed

  3. AWT Primary Focus Enhance the Aviation Weather Testbed by establishing a more formal and transparent framework for working with key partners, including the FAA, to accelerate the transfer of research into operations.

  4. New AWT Facility 1100 sq ft Aviation WeatherTestbed Facility Operations

  5. Testbed History • The Aviation Weather Testbed (AWT) primary focus for past decade has been Research-to-Operations (RO) with the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (AWRP) • Transitioned AWRP Research to AWC operations • Previously known as the FAA Testbed • Testbed evolving to support scientific research • 2010 Spring Experiment • “Operational Bridging” Demo • 2011 Traffic Impact Experiment

  6. FAA AWRP RO Graphical Turbulence Guidance - 2 (GTG2) National Convective Wx Forecast -2 (NCWF-2) Forecast Icing Severity (FIS) National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis (NCVA) • Four Algorithms developed by NCAR/RAL and fully transitionedto the AWC queued in theapproval process • Graphical Turbulence Guidance - 2 • Significant upgrade to existing algorithm • More accurate and extends down to 10,000 ft • Forecast Icing Severity • Significant upgrade to existing algorithm • Change from Potential to Severity • National Ceiling & Visibility Analysis • New diagnostic algorithm • Concerns over performance • National Convective Weather Forecast - 2 • Significant upgrade to existing algorithm • Introduces convective probabilities

  7. RO Success Criteria Research must meet all these criteria to be transitioned into NWS Operations

  8. Strategiesfor Energizing the AWT • Expand OR to accelerate RO successes • Strengthen relationships with FAA Aviation Weather Group • Establish new partnerships to ensure broad aviation weather community involvement • Involve NWS operational meteorologists during evaluations of emerging science and technology • Enhance the AWT Facility at AWC • Complete the AWT Terms of Reference

  9. Research-to-Operations Operations-to-Research R O Operations-to-Research (OR)a key role of the Aviation Weather Testbedensuring acceleratedResearch-to-Operations (RO)successes

  10. OR Challenges • Inclusion of operational units in setting RO priorities and decision making • The use of the operational model and post processing suite • Conducting research • Developing/assessing new products derived from the models • Use of NCEP’s Central Computing System (CCS) for high performance computing • Use of AWIPS 2 for workstation based projects

  11. Involve Operational Meteorologists • Limited operational resources hinder operational meteorologist participation • The operational meteorologists are the forecasting experts in the NWS • More likely to embrace research when consulted for operational expertise • Increase involvement to improve mutual understanding of the differing research and operations interests

  12. AWT Science Support • The AWC, with external partners and stakeholders, is increasing internal scientific research for aviation weather via the AWT • Broad result of the 2009 UCAR review • Focus on creating tools for forecasters to use within NextGen era • Basic research on NWP data: post-processing, calibration, high resolution, ensembles, convection • Visualization development via AWIPS II and IC4D

  13. AWT Projects

  14. Spring Experiment 2010 • Partnership with the Hazardous Weather Testbed (SPC) and the HydrometeorologicalTestbed (HMT) • Evaluated an array of high resolution models (deterministic and ensemble) for use in aviation impact forecasting • Focus on deep convection (Echo Top and Reflectivity) Day 1 and Day 2 forecasts • AWC Forecaster/Staff participation • Initial results: High res ensembles good, need visualization tools for large data volume

  15. Spring/Summer 2011 Experiment (Tentative) • Partnership with Department of Defense (AFWA) • 10 member 4km WRF ensemble • Focus on developing tools for identifying high impact thunderstorms • Mid-June to Mid-July • Stationed at the Aviation Weather Testbed • Convective initiation theme with HWT/HMT collaboration • Other models/data: HRRR, CoSPA, LAMP

  16. Operational Bridging/ATCSCC Support • Meteorologist-in-the-Loop: Lots of questions to be answered as role evolves • Set of “table top” exercises to demonstrate enhanced support to the ATCSCC via CCFP • Case studies from 2009 thunderstorm impact days • Experiment with extending CCFP to 8 hours

  17. GOES-R Evaluation • AWT will ingest multiple GOES-R products for evaluation • December 2010: GOES-R Nearcast and Nowcast data • Initial evaluation within the AWT, once data flow is established, push to operations • Several more products in 2011

  18. IC4D – Integrated Calibration in Four D • Aviation weather research community (AWRP) has developed 4-D (x, y, z, t) gridded guidance for parameters such as turbulence and icing. • “Forecaster-in-the-loop” concept will allow forecasters to make adjustments to the automated guidance. • Interacting with a 4-D data set containing multiple weather elements presents a major operational challenge. • Adjustment techniques and software tools (GUIs, etc) must be intuitive and user-friendly. • Software must also be adaptable to new elements and changing requirements.

  19. Summary • AWT is evolving to include more local scientific research in support of AWC mission • Strong partnerships are developing between academic, government, and private industry • Continue broad interaction on convective initiation problems with other Testbeds • 2011 Thunderstorm Impact Experiment

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