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Confidence Intervals. By Rebekah Thomas. Confidence Intervals. Intervals that estimate population parameters and margins of error Estimation is based on sample means or proportions Example: I am 90% confident that the true average number of calories per cookie is somewhere on the
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Confidence Intervals By Rebekah Thomas
Confidence Intervals • Intervals that estimate population parameters and margins of error • Estimation is based on sample means or proportions Example: I am 90% confident that the true average number of calories per cookie is somewhere on the interval (142.87, 150.13).
Confidence intervals for PROPORTIONS Conditions: SRS? Normal? n( )≥10 & n(1 - )≥10 Independent? 10% rule • Margin of error • Standard deviation
Confidence Intervals for MEANS z* or t*? Usually t* If n> 3o and is known, use z* • If n < 30 or is unknown, use t* • Remember to use df for t* df = n-1
Finding an interval Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the true average temperature in April for Sandy, Utah. http://weather-warehouse.com/WeatherHistory/PastWeatherData_Alta_Sandy_UT_April.html Proportions or means? n = 25 = 34.024 °F S = 3.794 C=0.95
n = 25 = 34.024 °F S = 3.794 C=0.95 Check conditions: 1. SRS? 2. Normal? n≥30 3. Independent? 10% rule Use t* since it’s means and st. dev. is unknown. I am 95% confident that the true average temperature in April in Sandy, Utah is somewhere on the interval (32.458 °F, 35.59 °F). Interpreting confidence level: 95% of all possible samples of size 25 from the population will result in an interval that captures the true average temperature in April.
Sources http://sph.bu.edu/otlt/MPH-Modules/BS/BS704_Confidence_Intervals/BS704_Confidence_Intervals_print.html https://www.google.com/search?q=standard+deviation+symbol&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a&um=1&ie=UTF-8&hl=en&tbm=isch&source=og&sa=N&tab=wi&ei=Out6UemgFsjBrQHm1IGADA&biw=1294&bih=749&sei=Rut6Uf6NLIrlrQGEyIGQAQ#imgrc=_ My notes