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Where are education systems going ?

Futures thinking and decision-making at system level Gábor Halász National Institute for Public Education Hungary „ Futures Thinking for Education: Policy, Leadership and the Teaching Profession ” (6 - 8 November 2006 - OECD/Japan Seminar – Hiroshima) . Where are education systems going ?.

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Where are education systems going ?

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  1. Futures thinking and decision-making at system levelGábor HalászNational Institute for Public EducationHungary „Futures Thinking for Education: Policy, Leadership and the Teaching Profession” (6 - 8 November 2006 - OECD/Japan Seminar – Hiroshima)

  2. Where are education systems going ? Schools serve the individual „Survival scenario” „Market scenario” Education as a closed world Education as an open world „Conservation scenario” „Transformation scenario” Schools serve the community This is what most people in education would hope Source: J-M. Saussois: Scenarios, international comparisons, and key variables for educational scenario analysis. Think scenarios…, OECD, 2006 ►►

  3. How to renew educational governance in order to realise the transformation scenario? • The context • Challenges and future trends in governance beyond education • Uncertainties, risks and increasing complexity in education systems • Facing the new regulation challenge in education • Using complexity thinking in renewing educational governance ►►

  4. Can futures thinking help the renewal of education governance? • Leaders and decision makers involved in futures thinking inevitably face complexity • Those who try to understand and master unpredictable futures may be better equipped to cope with the complexity of the present • Futures thinking may enhance realism and modesty in leadership (through the continuous confrontation of the desirable with the probable) ►►

  5. Thank you for your attention!

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