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Motivation

Motivation. Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results).

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Motivation

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  1. Motivation • Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). • Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass should develop sooner and precipitate on the upwind slope. Precipitation in continental aerosols should be displaced downwind (if it develops at all). • Cloud tops in continental runs should be cooler, as slower diffusional growth is favored over growth processes occurring through collisions.

  2. Set-Up • First set of simulations was done with liquid only microphysical processes. • Grid spacing was 3 km.

  3. Figure 1

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  12. Figure 10

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  15. Perhaps • We need a source of aerosols to replace those scavenged. • Simulation redone with constant (source of), continental aerosols.

  16. Figure 13 Scavenging of aerosols leads to lower clouds with warmer cloud top temperatures (but dynamics more important).

  17. Figure 14

  18. Figure 15

  19. Figure 16

  20. Model Restarted • Simulations with maritime and continental aerosols, starting from the same initial conditions at 16 GMT

  21. Figure 17 Ice processes Some enhancement of precip.

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  24. Summary Part II: • Initially, deep clouds over a mountainous terrain in a maritime environment produce more rain than clouds in a continental environment. • Over time, the clouds in a continental environment produce more rain.

  25. Explanation? • Scavenging of large aerosols allows continental air mass to evolve towards a maritime condition. • Differences in cloud height support this. • Yet, even with constant aerosols in a continental environment, precipitation from clouds in this environment is more than in the maritime/continental simulation

  26. Shallow clouds (should) conform to theory? • Differences in precipitation from shallow clouds developed much the same way as deep clouds (but effect was proportionally more important). • Cloud top heights were cooler in maritime simulation than in continental simulation? • Including ice processes does not change the result. • “Real world” is more complex than prevailing theory and results from 2d simulations.

  27. Ongoing and Future Work • Coupling of SBM in WRF (NSF SGER) • Further investigation of aerosol effects on precipitation (PIER, Israeli Science Foundation, ANTISTORM) • Development of hybrid SBM bulk microphysical model (?)

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