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Save the Sky: Adventures in Sky Monitoring. Robert J. Nemiroff. Who am I ?. Most cited science papers: GRBs: time dilation, cosmology, lens searches Microlensing: finite source size effects, AGN BLR probe Favorite science papers :
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Save the Sky: Adventures in Sky Monitoring Robert J. Nemiroff
Who am I? • Most cited science papers: • GRBs: time dilation, cosmology, lens searches • Microlensing: finite source size effects, AGN BLR probe • Favorite science papers: • On the Probability of Detection of a Single Gravitational Lens (1989) • Visual Distortions Near a Black Hole and Neutron Star (1993) • Toward a Continuous Record of the Sky (1999) • Tile or Stare? Cadence and Sky-monitoring Observing Strategies That Maximize the Number of Discovered Transients (2003)
Who am I?(Know your visitors) • Web: • Black hole movies at: http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/htmltest/rjn_bht.html GR correct! (Could make another IAS talk) • Astronomy Picture of the Day at: http://apod.nasa.gov/ NASA’s top-ranked site!
Save the Sky • What happened in the sky last night? • Supernova? Nova? Eta Carina flare? GRB afterglow? Undocumented flash? Flurry of sporadic meteors? • Clouds obscure your remote observing? • Cirrus affect data on Jan 22 at KPNO? • Are clouds rolling in just now? • Is last night’s sky gone forever?
Save the Sky • Popular Name: The Night Sky Live Project • Web address: http://concam.net • Deploys CONtinuous CAMeras (CONCAMs)
CONCAM: Objectives • Primary Science • Unprecedented temporal monitoring for GRB OTs, meteors, variable stars, comets, novae, supernovae • Support Science • Unprecedented ability to act as instantaneous cloud monitors, archival cloud monitors, generate all-sky transparency maps, all-sky emissivity maps • Education / Outreach • Unprecedented ability to show your class last night’s (real) sky, archival skies, monitor meteor showers in real time, show educational sky movies, run educational modules
Save the Sky: 4 CONCAM locations Kitt Peak Mt. Wilson Mauna Kea Wise Obs.
CONCAM: Hardware • CONCAMs are essentially fisheye lenses attached to CCDs run by a PC computer and connected to the internet. CONCAMs do not move - they are completely passive. • Most simply put: light comes in the top, electricity comes in the bottom, and data flow out the bottom. • In building CONCAMs, we have three montras: • “If it moves, it breaks.” • “The lens IS the dome.” • “Don’t spend 90% of your time trying to get 10% more images.”
CONCAM: Data • All recent images are available through http://concam.net • All data are free and public domain. • All FITS and JPG data are archived to DVDs (previously CDs). • Each CONCAM node generates about 500Mb of raw image data per night. • Higher level data products (e.g. photometry) are now being generated in real time for some CONCAMs.
CONCAM Scientific Milestones • First CCD device to image the position of a gamma-ray burst during the time of the gamma-ray burst trigger (#1: GRB 001005) • Most complete, global, and uniform coverage of a meteor storm: the 2001 Leonids • Most complete light curves for hundreds of bright variable stars starting from May 2000, when the first CONCAM was deployed on Kitt Peak. • First devices to give real-time optical ground truth for the whole sky in support of major astronomical telescopes, including Gemini North, Keck, Subaru, IRTF, SpaceWatch, Wise, ING 4-m, Mayall 4-M, SARA, and WIYN. • In May 2003, fisheye night sky webcams now image most of the night sky, most of the time. For example, were SN 1987A to go off tomorrow, there would be a good chance that a CONCAM saw it.
Tile or Stare?A sky monitor’s classic conundrum • Sky monitoring increasing • Current Projects (see BP webpage: abridged, expanded) • CONCAM R. J. Nemiroff • KAIT A. Filippenko • LINEAR LINEAR team • LONEOS T. Bowell • LOTIS H. S. Park • MEGA A. Crotts • NEAT E. Helin • RAPTOR W. T. Vestrand • ROTSE C. Ackerloff • Spacewatch R. S. McMillan • STARE T. M. Brown • SuperMACHO C. Stubbs • TAOS C. Alcock • YSTAR Y. I. Byun
Tile or Stare? • Likely future sky monitoring projects include (much abridged): • Pan-STARRS N. Kaiser • LSST A. Tyson • GLAST P. F. Michelson
Tile or Stare?: Assumptions Generic case considered here: • Transients are discovered and confirmed on a time-contiguous series of exposures • Sky is isotropic • Effective apparent brightness distribution of transients N(l) is already known • Once discovered, transients are handed off to a separate follow-up telescope “Tile or Stare” & tiling cadence determination important for: • microlensing, GRB OTs, supernovae, planet detection, binary star eclipses, stellar flares, blazar flares, QSO flares, Near Earth Objects, comets, meteors & more ...
Tile or Stare?The Two Key Power Indices: , • Variables: • N: effective apparent cumulative brightness distribution of transients • ldim: apparent luminosity at obs. limit • te: exposure time • At the observation limit, quantify: • N ldim(low background: -1) • ldim te(high background : -1/2) • N te
Tile or Stare?: A Mathematical Optimization • Find N(l) from existing observations (l: apparent brightness) • Find l(te) from detector, noise, and backgrounds (te: exposure time) • Compute N(te) -- might be conveniently parameterized in terms of power-law indices & • Estimate total time of campaign: tc (exact value usually not important) • Find grand total expected transients during campaign: Ng • Write Ng is terms of treturn, the time it takes for a survey to return to a given field (i.e. cadence). Read, down and slew times enter here. • Compute dNg/dtreturn, find solutions to dNg/dtreturn=0. • Find treturn that best maximizes Ng.
Tile or Stare? Decision Summary • If, during exposure, the rate that transients come over the limiting magnitude horizon is increasing fast enough ( > 1), then stare should be preferred. • If, on the other hand, the rate that transients come over the limiting magnitude horizon is not increasing fast enough ( < 1), then tile should be preferred. • Usually the best tiling cadence is the duration of the transient, since a faster tiling cadence will waste effort on transients that have been previously discovered, while a slower tiling cadence will miss transients occurring in other fields. • If, however, the duration of the transient is comparable to the cumulative read-out and/or slew times during a sky-tiling, then a mathematical maximization as described in the preprint will find the most productive cadence.
Tile or Stare? SuperMACHO • Objective: maximize microlensing transients discovered • LMC N(l) has < 1: tile beats stare for identical fields • what cadence? • LMC not isotropic: fields with highest N(ldim) preferred • N(l) may change with seeing or be better determined with time • Therefore, choosing the next field to observe is very complicated -- not unlike a chess game. Optimization might involve real-time Monte-Carlo simulations. • Field return rate still attracted toward transient “duration of interest” • faster cadence inefficiently re-discovers known microlenses (competes with field richness at ldim) • “duration of interest” may be the microlens rise time: ~ two weeks, although microlens rise times have wide variety of durations
Tile or Stare?: LSST • Objective (example): maximizing Type IA supernovae discovered • Sky essentially isotropic (out of Galactic plane) • N(l): > 1 for I < 24: stare preferred • effectively creates a minimum observation time per field • N(l): < 1 for I < 24: tile preferred • what cadence? • Return time (cadence) optimized at the “duration of interest” • faster cadence inefficiently re-discovers known supernovae • slower cadence inefficiently misses supernovae in neglected fields • “duration of interest” could be rise time of SNe: ~ 15 days (1+z) • Different cadences will optimize discovery rates for different transients • might have Guest Investigators (GIs) program where GIs change filters and cadence to optimize discovery rate of GI-preferred transients
Tile or Stare?: GLAST • Objective: maximize blazars (quiescent phase) discovered • GLAST’s survey mode constrains it to point away from the Earth, but rock at some cadence between the N&S Celestial Poles. • N(l) away from Galactic Plane: > 1: stare • stare = GLAST Deep Field (GDF); should maximize detections • stare only possible at NCP, SCP or during pointing mode • GDF exposures should end if/when faint blazars saturate ( drops below unity) • N(1) in Galactic Plane: < 1: tile • GDF strategy inefficient in Galactic Plane • quiescent nature allows co-adding at any time, cadence unimportant • , , GDF existence, GDF location are energy dependant.