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LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP. FDA/NSTA Web Seminar: Food Safety and Nutrition. Thursday, April 26, 2007 7:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. Foodborne Illness Outbreak Investigation Surveillance and Epidemiology “Be the Detective”. Patrick McCarthy, PhD, MPH
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LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP FDA/NSTA Web Seminar: Food Safety and Nutrition Thursday, April 26, 2007 7:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. Eastern time
Foodborne Illness Outbreak Investigation Surveillance and Epidemiology“Be the Detective” Patrick McCarthy, PhD, MPH Food & Drug Administration U.S. Dept of Health and Human Services
USDA Food Safety and Inspection Service • Responsible for ensuring safety of meat, poultry, and some egg products
US Food & Drug Administration • Responsible for ensuring safety of all other food products
Estimates of foodborne illness and death based on surveillance data • 325,000 hospitalizations each year • 5,000 deaths each year • 14 million illnesses due to known pathogens • 62 million illnesses due to unknown pathogens Paul Mead-CDC-1999
Factors Pushing the Numbers Up • Globalization of the food supply • Perceived healthiness of raw fruits and vegetables • Increase in susceptible population • Eating out more • International travel D Swerdlow, S Altekruse 1998
Which agency regulates these products: Type a “U” for USDA, or an “F” for FDA
Why do we do surveillance? • Identify emerging problems and stimulate actions to address them • Take prompt control actions • Identify and interpret trends in foodborne disease • Determine the consequences of foodborne illness • Evaluate intervention programs • Set goals, priorities, policies, training, etc. for food safety
How is foodborne illness recognized? • From patients or someone close to patients • Report from MD, RN, laboratory, etc. • Review of national surveillance data • Salmonella Outbreak Detection Algorithm (SODA) • PulseNet • FoodNet • Rarely: local newspaper or television news report
Percentage of Foodborne Illness Attributable to Known Pathogens Mead et al., 1999
Identify what you think is the best reason to have a foodborne illness surveillance program?
Why investigate outbreaks? • Identify and eliminate sources of exposure • Develop strategies to prevent future outbreaks • Describe new diseases • Learn more about existing diseases • Evaluate existing prevention strategies
Determining Burden of Disease Reported to health department Culture-confirmed case Lab tests for organism Specimen obtained Person seeks care Person becomes ill Population exposures
Did you ever have a foodborne illness? Yes () No (X)
If you answered yes to the previous poll question, did you report the illness to the health department? Yes () No (X)
Multiplication Factors For Salmonella and other pathogens that cause non-bloody diarrhea the degree of underreporting has been estimated at about 38 fold. For EC0157H7 and Shigella which cause bloody diarrhea - underreporting has been estimated at about 20 fold. P Mead – CDC 1999
Cohort study: relative risk total 28 11 • At start of cohort study you know everyone’s exposure status • total exposed = 28; total unexposed = 11 • go forward in time and determine risk of getting ill • risk if exposed = 24 / 28 = 0.857 • risk if not exposed = 2 / 11 = 0.182 • Relative Risk = 0.85 / 0.18 = 4.71
http://www-unix.oit.umass.edu/~exsc597j/Epi2000/ENGLISH/HELP/statist.htmhttp://www-unix.oit.umass.edu/~exsc597j/Epi2000/ENGLISH/HELP/statist.htm
Take Home Message • In cohort studies the relative risk (RR) compares rate of illness in the exposed group to rate of illness in the unexposed group. • In case-control studies the odds ratio (OR) is the odds in favor of exposure among cases compared to the odds in favor of exposure among the controls. • if RR or OR = 1, or the 95 % CI includes 1 then the result is not considered statistically significant • If RR or OR is less than 1 may mean food item is "protective“
Review: What pathogen is associated with the most foodborne illness ?
Traceback • Track food items back to their source (product type, lot #, delivery time, etc.)
Traceback - protocol • Traceback protocol includes • extensive record reviews • extensive interviews • records / information collected includes shipments, inventories, transportation, etc. • data analyses
Traceback - case study Details: • AZ; 19-ill; church group, restaurant, July 5th • NV; 12-ill; friends, restaurant, July 8th • CA; 14-ill; party, restaurant supplied food, July 9th • lab reports all cases have identical PFGE pattern • case-control study is conducted • spinach is implicated • traceback is initiated to determine source of the spinach
No common restaurant so distributors can be eliminated as a possible contamination source. Farm B supplies both distributors and is suspected contamination source. Restaurant A Phoenix, AZ Farm A Nogales, AZ Spinach Distributor A Denver, CO Restaurant B San Diego, CA Farm B Salinas, CA Spinach Distributor B Salinas, CA Restaurant C Las Vegas, NV Farm C Tucson, AZ Scenario - common farm
Product Contamination • 4 important sources • soil • water • farm workers • domestic and feral animals
Outbreak of Escherichia coli O157 Infections Associated with Fresh Spinach August-September 2006 • Early epi information • 3 possible processors in California • dozens of possible ranches • Possible ongoing exposures so FDA advises consumers not to consume bagged spinach • Actions taken by other countries based on early information.
Question:Type your answers on the chat window • Can you identify potential sources of produce contamination in addition to these: • soil • water • farm workers • domestic and feral animals
E. Coli O157:H7 and Spinach Sept. 14th; FDA notified of multi-state investigation possibly linked to bagged spinach - possible ongoing exposures - early epi could not identify a firm or lot code Sept. 14th; California Food Emergency Response Team dispatched to three firms Sept. 14th; phone calls between CDHS, FDA, and implicated firms begin Sept. 15th; firm X initiated a voluntary recall
Number Of Cases by Date of Illness OnsetUnited States, August-September, 2006 August 15, 2006 Lot -227 production date August September Date of initial symptom onset All data is preliminary
Results: • E.coli O157:H7 found on 4 ranches • 9 isolates, from 1 ranch were PFGE indistinguishable from outbreak strain (1 stream, 1 pig feces, 7 cow feces) • ranch is primarily a beef cattle operation • a stream on the property - ideal habitat for wildlife – feral pigs, etc. • well is shallow and sits in a slight depression in the field.
Produce Outbreaks some lessons learned • Leafy vegetables have elevated levels of bacteria due to large surface area • Bacteria tends to adhere and accumulate in structures and at cut surfaces - once internalized, pathogens are difficult to remove • Pathogen survival varies greatly • Negative lab result ≠ absence of pathogen
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