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Last Study Topics. Opportunity Cost of Capital Rate of an Alternative investment opportunity having a similar risk. Investment vs. Consumption Manager finds it difficult to reconcile the different objectives of the shareholders. Topics Covered. Calculations of NPV & ROR
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Last Study Topics • Opportunity Cost of Capital • Rate of an Alternative investment opportunity having a similar risk. • Investment vs. Consumption • Manager finds it difficult to reconcile the different objectives of the shareholders. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Topics Covered • Calculations of NPV & ROR • Managers and the Interests of Shareholders • Fundamental Study Result • Valuing Long-Lived Assets • PV Calculation Short Cuts
Calculation of NPV and ROR • The opportunity cost of capital is 20 percent for all four investments. Initial Cash Cash Flow Investment Flow, C0 in Year 1, C1 1 10,000 18,000 2 5,000 9,000 3 5,000 5,700 4 2,000 4,000 a. Which investment is most valuable? b. Suppose each investment would require use of the same parcel of land. Therefore you can take only one. Which one? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Answer to question ‘a’; • Investment 1, since this investment with respect to others has generate highest NPV with Max rate of return. • Answer to question ‘b’; • Investment 1, since this investment with respect to others has highest contributed net value. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Decision Rules • Here then we have two equivalent decision rules for capital investment; • Net present value rule; Accept investments that have positive net present values. • Rate-of-return rule; Accept investments that offer rates of return in excess of their opportunity costs of capital. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Fundamental Result • Our justification of the present value rule was restricted to two periods and to a certain cash flow. • However, the rule also makes sense for uncertain cash flows that extend far into the future. The argument goes like this: • 1- A financial manager should act in the interests of the firm’s owners, its stockholders. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • 2- Stockholders do not need the financial manager’s help to achieve the best time pattern of consumption. • 3- How then can the financial manager help the firm’s stockholders? • There is only one way: by increasing the market value of each stockholder’s stake in the firm. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Despite the fact that shareholders have different preferences, they are unanimous in the amount that they want to invest in real assets. • This means that they can cooperate in the same enterprise and can safely delegate operation of that enterprise to professional managers. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • These managers do not need to know anything about the tastes of their shareholders and should not consult their own tastes. • Their task is to maximize net present value. If they succeed, they can rest assured that they have acted in the best interest of their shareholders. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Managers and Shareholder Interests • Do managers really looking after the interests of shareholders? • This takes us back to the principal–agent problem. • Several institutional arrangements that help to ensure that the shareholders’ pockets are close to the managers’ heart. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Utilizing their Voting power; • If shareholders believe that the corporation is underperforming and that the board of directors is not sufficiently aggressive in holding the managers to task, they can try to replace the board in the next election. • E.g; chief executives of Eastman Kodak, General Motors, Xerox, Lucent, Ford Motor, etc were all forced to step aside. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • As a result the stock price tumbles. • This damages top management’s reputation and compensation. • Part of the top managers’ paychecks comes from bonuses tied to the company’s earnings or from stock options, which pay off if the stock price rises but are worthless if the price falls below a stated threshold. • This should motivate managers to increase earnings and the stock price. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • If managers and directors do not maximize value, there is always the threat of a hostile takeover. • The further a company’s stock price falls, due to lax management or wrong-headed policies, the easier it is for another company or group of investors to buy up a majority of the shares. • The old management team is then likely to find themselves out on the street and their place is taken by a fresh team. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Should managers look after the interests of shareholders? • For this question we need to understand that In most instances there is little conflict between doing well (maximizing value) and doing good. • Profitable firms are those with satisfied customers and loyal employees and vice versa; Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Ethical issues do arise in business as in other walks of life. • when we say that the objective of the firm is to maximize shareholder wealth, we do not mean that anything goes. • In business and finance, as in other day-to-day affairs, there are unwritten, implicit rules of behavior. • To work efficiently together, we need to trust each other. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Principles of Corporate Finance Brealey and Myers Sixth Edition • How to Calculate Present Values Chapter 3 Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed Irwin/McGraw Hill • The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000
Present Values Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1 • Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1 • Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • Replacing “1” with “t” allows the formula to be used for cash flows that exist at any point in time. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example Suppose you will receive a certain cash inflow of $100 next year (C1 = $100) and the rate of interest on one-year U.S. Treasury notes is 7 percent (r1 = 0.07). What would be the present value of Cash inflow ? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example Suppose you will receive a certain cash inflow of $100 in two year (C2 = $100) and the rate of interest on two-year U.S. Treasury notes is 7.7 percent (r1 = 0.077). What would be the present value of year 2 Cash inflow ? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example You just bought a new computer for $3,000. The payment terms are 2 years same as cash. If you can earn 8% on your money, how much money should you set aside today in order to make the payment when due in two years? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example You just bought a new computer for $3,000. The payment terms are 2 years same as cash. If you can earn 8% on your money, how much money should you set aside today in order to make the payment when due in two years? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • PVs can be added together to evaluate multiple cash flows. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • PVs can be added together to evaluate multiple cash flows, and called as discounted cash flow or (DCF) formula; Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • If a dollar tomorrow is worth less than a dollar today, one might suspect that a dollar the day after tomorrow should be worth even less. • But, lets assume - given two dollars, one received a year from now and the other two years from now, the value of each is commonly called the Discount Factor. Assume r1 = 20% and r2 = 7%. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values • Given two dollars, one received a year from now and the other two years from now, the value of each is commonly called the Discount Factor. Assume r1 = 20% and r2 = 7%. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • If First we lend $1,000 for one year at 20 percent, we have; • FV = PV (1+rt)t = • Go to the bank and borrow the present value of this $1,200 at 7 percent interest, we have; • PV = FV / (1+rt)t = Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • If we going to find out the net present value of our investment we get, • NPV = PV – Investment = $1121 - $1200 “Just imagine in this game of lending and borrowing How much money you can earn without taking risks” Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue • Of course this story is completely fanciful. • “There is no such thing as a money machine.” • In well-functioning capital markets, any potential money machine will be eliminated almost instantaneously by investors who try to take advantage of it. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example Assume that the cash flows from the construction and sale of an office building is as follows. Given a 7% required rate of return, create a present value worksheet and show the net present value. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Present Values Example - continued Assume that the cash flows from the construction and sale of an office building is as follows. Given a 7% required rate of return, create a present value worksheet and show the net present value. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
NPV Formula Mathematically; PV @ 7% ∑PV = PV of C1+ PV of C2 = -$93,500 + $261,900 = $168,400 NPV = ∑ PV - INV = $168,400 - $150,000 = $18,400 Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Summary • Calculations of NPV & ROR • Managers and the Interests of Shareholders • Fundamental Study Result • Valuing Long-Lived Assets
Short Cuts • Sometimes there are shortcuts that make it very easy to calculate the present value of an asset that pays off in different periods. • These tolls allow us to cut through the calculations quickly. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Case : Investment A • An investment costs $1,548 and pays $138 in perpetuity. If the interest rate is 9 percent, what is the NPV? • PV = C / r = $1533.33 • NPV = PV - INV = $1533.33 - $1548 = -$ 14.67 Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Case: leasing a car Example You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Continue Example - continued You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Case: Endowment Funds Example - Suppose, for example, that we begins to wonders what it would cost to contribute in a endowment fund with an amount of $100,000 a year for only 20 years? Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Alternatively • We can simply look up the answer in the annuity table given on the next slide. • This table gives the present value of a dollar to be received in each of t periods. • In our example t = 20 and the interest rate r = .10, and therefore; • We look at the twentieth number from the top in the 10 percent column. It is 8.514. Multiply 8.514 by $100,000, and we have our answer, • $851,400. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed
Compound Interest • There is an important distinction between compound interest and simple interest. • When money is invested at compound interest, each interest payment is reinvested to earn more interest in subsequent periods. • In contrast, the opportunity to earn interest on interest is not provided by an investment that pays only simple interest. Instructor: Mr. Wajid Shakeel Ahmed