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TROPICAL METEOROLOGY RESEARCH Promotes, Identifies and supports research initiatives relevant to the high-impact weather forecast requirements of NMHSs in tropical and monsoon regions, and thus contribute to social and economic benefits by preventing or mitigatingdisastersvia imporved forecasts of tropical cyclones and anomalous monsoon rainfall. Contact: arep@wmo.int
WWRP-TMR • Tropical Cyclone Panel: • Expert Team on Observation, Processes and Prediction • Expert Team on Landfall Processes • Expert Team on Climate Impacts on TCs • Limited Area NWP • Monsoon Panel: • Expert Team on Severe Monsoon Weather • Expert Team on Climate Impacts on Monsoon Weather • Monsoon Activity Centers
Monsoon Panel Strategy • Climate Scales: Global change, Decadal, Interannual, Seasonal, down to intraseasonal • Cooperate with and support WCRP monsoon activities • Cooperate with regional and international programs (e.g., APEC Climate Center) • Research on Climate Impacts on local weather • Weather Scales: Convection, Meso-, Synoptic, up to Intraseasonal • Regional and Local phenomena, effects of terrain • Top priority: Torrential rainfall, flooding • Joint efforts with TMRP/TC component
Activities • Scientific and Training Workshops • Review state of the art, current issues and future directions • Facilitate researchers - forecasters interactions • Relating research results to forecasters on an ongoing basis • Update WMO Report on Monsoon for Member NMHSs. • WMO Monsoon Activity Centres • New Delhi (IMD: South Asia) • Kuala Lumpur (MMS: Southeast Asia) • Beijing (CMA, East Asia) • Encourage, endorse and support weather scale monsoon research through regional and international cooperation
Research Projects • Encourage, endorse and support weather scale monsoon research through regional and international cooperation • Examples • SCHeREXSouthern China Heavy Rainfall EXperiment (MAPHRISC: CAMS/CMA, IAP/CAS) • SoWMEXSouthwest Monsoon EXperiment (CWB/NTU) • TiMREXTerrain-induced Monsoon Rainfall EXperiment (NSF/NCAR) • PHONE06-15Pukyong Natl U - HyARC, Nagoya U Observation Network over East China Sea • Relevant WWRP-TMR/TC Project • TCS08 Tropical Cyclone Structure 08 (ONR/NRL/NPS)
SCHeREX SoWMEX/TiMREX Taiwan Island SCHeREX * Early Season Meiyu front * DROPSONDE MISSIONS? Island Soundings * * sharp SST gradient → baroclinic boundary layer enhances LLJ? SoWMEX /TiMREX Ship Sounding upstream conditions, surface fluxes, stability → blocking, Inversion, convection Doppler radars Dropsondes Upsondes Radiosondes
PHONE06-15Pukyong N U and HyARC, Nagoya U ObservationNetwork over East China Sea • Nine-year observational project starting 2006 over southern part of South Korea, East China Sea, and Okinawa • Purposes: • Formation mechanisms of precipitation systems associated with the Meiyu/Baiu/Changma front and typhoons over ECS. • Research in short-term forecasting of heavy rainfalls (QPE and QPF) • Observations and Modeling: • Ground, sounding and satellite data • Doppler radars • Cloud resolving model • Linkage • Coordination with SoWMEX/TiMREX being planned.
Sungsanpo Gosan Meiyu-Baiu-Changma front Early season Meiyu-Baiu Front Jindo (COBRA, NICT) Doppler radars Radiosondes Typhoon PHONE06-15
TCS08Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 Field Project(WWRP/TMR Tropical Cyclone Research) • August – September 2008 • Equator – 30N, Asian coast to Dateline • Purposes: • TC Formation in western North Pacific monsoon trough . • TC Evolution after Formation • Observations • Ground, sounding and satellite data • Airborne wind Lidar and ELDORA Doppler radar • Linkage • Coordination with the concurrent WWRP/THORPEX Pacific Area Regional Campaign (T-PARC).
Workshops • IWM-4: • Time: Late October 2008 • Location: Beijing, China • Cosponsored by CLIVAR AAMP • Update WMO TD No. 1266: Global Monsoon Systems: Research and Forecast. balance between climate and severe weather topics • Possible: • 8th training workshop on monsoon (late 2008) • Workshop on QPE/QPF of TC and monsoon (2009)