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JL-001

Québec/Ontario A Fresh Look (or: Objects in mirror may be closer than they appear) présentation by Jean-François Lisée CERIUM.ca at the Chair of Quebec studies, Glendon College, February 2005. JL-001. Question # 1 Is Québec closing the gap ?. JL-002. A decade of growth. JL-004.

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JL-001

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  1. Québec/OntarioA Fresh Look(or: Objects in mirror may be closer than they appear)présentation by Jean-François LiséeCERIUM.caat the Chair of Quebec studies, Glendon College, February 2005 JL-001

  2. Question # 1 Is Québec closing the gap ? JL-002

  3. A decade of growth JL-004

  4. A decade of growth JL-004

  5. Déchiffrer le modèle québécois • A significant leap: In the OECD, only Ireland did better • In North-America Québec is historically poorerBut is closing the gap JL-002

  6. A full cycle Québec/Ontario Growth (1989-2000) Prosperity in principle or per person? JL-003

  7. Is the trend holding ?Québec/Ontario (2000-2003) JL-003

  8. Will the trend hold ?Québec/Ontario (2004-2005) (ConfB. estimates) JL-003

  9. Closing the wealth gap Québec/Canada 1992-2002 JL-004

  10. Closing the wealth gap Québec/Ontario 1960-2004 JL-004

  11. Closing the wealth gap Québec/United States 1992-2004 This is an average JL-004

  12. Trying not to keep up with these Johneses.. JL-005

  13. Revenue concentration at the top US 1% - 1973-2003 So, one has to beware of averages JL-004

  14. At the low end of the ladder • Family poverty rate, 1997 18% USA 12% European Union 10% Canada 9% Québec 1997, PPA JL-005

  15. Middle class Median disposable work income, 1997 Per cap, PPP, $US de 1995 Canada 20 300 $ Québec 20 500 $ Ontario 21 600 $ USA 21 700 $ Source: Pierre Fortin, UQAM JL-005

  16. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  17. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  18. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  19. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  20. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  21. Cost of living, after taxes, Toronto/Montréal JL-005

  22. To sum up… • Québec’s wealth is growing rapidly. • The 25% of Quebeckers at the bottom of the revenue scale have a higher standard of living than their counterparts in Canada and the US. • The standard of living of the Quebec middle class is close to that of Ontario and the US (-5%) and higher than that of Canada. • The very rich are richer in Ontario and much, much richer in the US. JL-005

  23. Question # 2 Are immigrants afraid of Québec ? JL-002

  24. Attracting int’l immigrants: Québec / Ontario JL-004

  25. Attracting int’l immigrants: Québec / Ontario JL-004

  26. Total migratory balance: Québec / North-East JL-004

  27. Attracting int’l immigrants: Québec Canada USA JL-004

  28. Total migratory balance : Québec Canada USA JL-004

  29. Déchiffrer le modèle québécois • So… A significant ability to attract international immigrants. A steadily growing retention rate (now 83% vs 86% in ROC) or these immigrants Against a negative (but improving) interprovincial anglophone migratory balance On an anglophone continent, not a bad performance. JL-002

  30. Question # 3 The bureaucrat- heavy-province ? JL-002

  31. « The bureaucratic empire » Québec/Ontario JL-005

  32. « The bureaucratic empire » Québec/Ontario JL-005

  33. « The bureaucratic empire » Québec/Ontario JL-005

  34. « The bureaucratic empire » Québec/Ontario JL-005

  35. « The bureaucratic empire » Québec/Ontario JL-005

  36. Question # 4 Québec’s fiscal hell JL-002

  37. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario 1 400 JL-005

  38. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 JL-005

  39. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 JL-005

  40. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 JL-005

  41. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 JL-005

  42. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 Student grants 177 -648 JL-005

  43. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 Student grants 177 -648 Private schools grants 307 -955 JL-005

  44. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 Student grants 177 -648 Private schools grants 307 -955 Local developement budgets 219 -1 174 JL-005

  45. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 Student grants 177 -648 Private schools grants 307 -955 Local developement budgets 219 -1 174 Culture (supplementary effort) 155 -1 329 JL-005

  46. « The fiscal hell » Québec vs Ontario Québec expenses and services not offered by Ontario, 2001-2002 (partial list) Sum (in millions) Use of the supplementary fiscal revenues (balance) Supplementary fiscal revenues 2 800 5$ (now 7$) a day daycare 1 020 1 780 Supplementary child benefit 565 1 215 Pharmacare 1 686 -471 Student grants 177 -648 Private schools grants 307 -955 Local developement budgets 219 -1 174 Culture (supplementary effort) 155 -1 329 Total 4 129 JL-005

  47. To sum up… For every tax dollar, Quebeckers have more services than Ontarians. Furthermore, Torontonians pay their electricity at rates 64% higher than Quebeckers. JL-002

  48. Tax Freedom day : The Fraser Institute Test

  49. Tax Freedom day : The Fraser Institute Test

  50. Tax Freedom day : The Fraser Institute Test

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