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The IPP Agreement and Its Impact on Pakistan

Recently, an agreement has been signed between a section of Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and the Government Committee to address the undue and high cost of generation charged by the IPPs. Two separate agreements have been made: one with Wind IPPs and the other with Furnace Oil IPPs (FOIPP).

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The IPP Agreement and Its Impact on Pakistan

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  1. TheIPPAgreementandItsImpactonPakistan'sRenewableEnergySector • BySyedAkhtarAli • Recently,anagreementhasbeensignedbetweenasectionofIndependentPowerProducers (IPPs)andtheGovernmentCommitteetoaddresstheundueandhighcostofgenerationcharged bytheIPPs.Twoseparateagreementshavebeenmade:onewithWindIPPsandtheotherwith FurnaceOilIPPs(FOIPP).Therehasbeenmixedreactionfromknowledgeablecircles.Inthis article,wewillanalyzetheprosandconsoftheagreement, consideringthebroadercontextof Pakistanenergysectorandtheongoingclimatechangearticlesandtheirissues. • MajorClausesoftheAgreementwithWindIPPs • DebtTenorandInterestRates:Thedebttenoristobeextendedby5years,andthe LIBORspreadreducedby50-75points,whiletheKIBORspreadwillseeareductionof 100-125points. • OperationalandMaintenanceCosts:AreductioninO&Mexpenses by20-25%is mandated. • InsurancePremiums:Theinsurancepremiuminoperationalyearswillbereduced. • DelayedPaymentInterestRates:Thedelayedpaymentinterestratewillbereduced fromKIBOR+4.5%toKIBOR+2%forthefirsttwo months,remainingat LIBOR+4.5%forfurtherdelays. • ReturnonEquityDuringConstruction(RoEDC):Thiswillbereducedto 13%. • BreakdownofExistingWindPowerTariffs • Atypicalwindpowertariffonexistingplants(April-June2020)isRs26.39/kWh. This breaks downasfollows: • O&M:Rs3.0875 • RoE:Rs.8.5049 • DebtRepaymentandInterest:Rs14.00 • Itisnotablethatwindpowertariffforalreadyinstalledplantsunderthe2013tariffisaround Rs 25-26perunit,comparedtoRs6fornewpowerplantsunderthenewtariff.Thehighcostof earliertariffswasinternationallyacknowledged,thoughsuchpriceshave significantlydecreased recently.TheNEPRA-awardedwindpowerlevelisedtariffin2013was13.52USc,comparedto • 7.3UScinTurkeyandotherlowerratesglobally,highlightinganinitialexcessivetariff • structure. • ConcessionsandFinancialImpact • Despitethescopeformuchharsherfinancialadjustmentsduetotheabnormalprofitsmade by WindIPPs,thenegotiated concessionsarelargelyconditionalanddependon financial institutions. Reductionshave beenmade inRoEDC,aminorcomponent,butnotinRoE.The

  2. regulatoryshortcomings byNEPRA, whichfailedtoconsultthird-partyconsultantsorconduct comprehensivedataanalyses,contributedto these excessivetariffs. • RegulatoryOversightandReforms • Thereisaclearneedforregulatoryreforms,including: • PublicHearings:Theseshouldbe morerepresentativeand meaningful, ensuring adequateconsumerinterestrepresentation. • RegulatoryAgencies:Oversightisnecessarytopreventarbitrarydecisionsthatharm • publicinterest. • AppellateTribunal: ImplementationofanAppellateTribunal,asprovidedinElectricity Legislation,iscriticalandshouldextendtotheoilandgassector. • RegionalComparisonsandFutureDirections • India'sapproachtorenewableenergy,includingcompetitionandreverseauctions,has significantlyreduced solar andwind tariffsbyover100%.TheCentralElectricityRegulatory Commission(CERC)inIndiahasreducedRoEforrenewableenergyfrom17%to14%, with fossilpowerplantsseeingareductionto15.5%. • SeparateAgreementwithFurnaceOilIPPs • TheagreementwithF.O.IPPscoverslessthan5%ofthesector,excludingCPECandHydro projects.ThisagreementsetsapotentiallyharmfulprecedentforfutureCPECnegotiations, highlightingtheneedfor more beneficialarrangements. • Conclusion • Acompetitive market isessentialforfutureenergyinvestments. Establishingavoluntary electricityexchange,similartoIndia'smodel,couldgraduallyintroducecompetitioninPakistan's electricitysector.Policymakersmustdeliberatecarefullyonthe proposedCompetitiveTrading BilateralContractMarket(CTBCM)toensureit offersarobust competitiveframework.

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