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NSF Hurricane Research Overview – FY08

Overview of NSF's hurricane research in FY08, including process-oriented studies, model development, and new observing techniques. Emphasis on intensity, structure, track, and genesis of tropical cyclones, supported by NOAA and NASA partnerships.

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NSF Hurricane Research Overview – FY08

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  1. NSF Hurricane Research Overview – FY08 National Science Foundation Directorate of Geosciences Bradley F. Smull, Associate Program Director Physical & Dynamic Meteorology Division of Atmospheric Sciences

  2. Primarily “General” (Process-oriented studies) & Model-development efforts, also New Observing Techniques/Strategies NSF-Supported Research Spans Broad Range of Topics Intensity / Structure Track Genesis QPF Surge Model Development Observations [Seasonal]

  3. General Research NWP Observations Key NSF Supported Efforts Include A1 – Intensity & Structure ChangesA3 – Tropical CyclogenesisA6 – Seasonal Prediction of TC ActivityB4-B6 – Model Verification/Diagnostic Techniques & Advanced Probabilistic Guidance

  4. NSF-Supported Research Complements Other Agencies Emphasis on Process-oriented & Model Development research with reliance upon partnerships w/ NOAA & NASA for Observations & Data Access

  5. Current research emphasis partly but not entirely aligned with Operational Center priorities # 1 operational priority for NHC / CPHC / JTWC re: intensity change well supported by NSF: Exceeds 14 person-years/$2M investment in FY08 Annual NSF effort dedicated to all identified priorities exceed 50 person-years/$9M in FY08, including ~$3M for facilities (T-PARC/TCS-08) Some contributions in Ocean Sciences & Wind Engineering likely missing in this ATM-focused snapshot Unlike NOAA, NSF facilities contributions vary sharply from year to year NSF Summary & Additional Comments • NSF focus centers on high-risk, high-benefit research • NSF role is to be “out in front” of operations – relatively few deliverables in usual sense of the word • Fundamentally grassroots (investigator & reviewer) community driven • Agility is key NSF strength; Agendas are continually / annually evolving • Where operational community might see “failures”, NSF sees progress via elimination of previously unexplored possibilities • NSF support extends to “human dimensions” research • Efforts by NSF’s Social, Behavioral & Economic Sciences (SBE) Directorate don’t readily map onto OC priorities, but may still be of key interest to Emergency Managers & First Responders 5

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