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C L I M A T E & W A T E R

Seasonal Forecasting of Streamflow. C L I M A T E & W A T E R. USGS 75 th /25 th Percentiles of Daily Mean Flow Monthly Exceedance/Non-exceedance Counts Seasonal Counts vs. ENSO Episode Historical Composites (9 for each site) Forecasts Issued Using CPC Nino 3.4 Probabilities

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C L I M A T E & W A T E R

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  1. Seasonal Forecasting of Streamflow CLIMATE & WATER USGS 75th/25th Percentiles of Daily Mean Flow Monthly Exceedance/Non-exceedance Counts Seasonal Counts vs. ENSO Episode Historical Composites (9 for each site) Forecasts Issued Using CPC Nino 3.4 Probabilities Hindcasts 1982-2005 indicated most skill in northern Pearl with less skill at coast where signals dampened by diurnal/tropical events

  2. Seasonal Forecasting of Streamflow CLIMATE & WATER Historical Probabilities provide likelihood of a particular streamflow category given ENSO episode

  3. Seasonal Forecasting of Streamflow CLIMATE & WATER Combine Historicals with CPC Nino 3.4 Probabilities to Forecast Streamflow Conditions

  4. Seasonal Forecasting of Streamflow CLIMATE & WATER INCREASED SKILL INCREASED SKILL DECREASEDSKILL Historical composites must be significant to issue a forecast, otherwise EQUAL CHANCES

  5. Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Climatology CLIMATE & WATER Collaborative Research with the Southeast Regional Climate Center (Columbia, SC) Land-falling Storms 1971-2000 from TX/Mexico to MD/DE border ArcView/GIS to produce gauge analysis and MAPs Storm Characteristics defined (Speed, Intensity, States Affected, etc.)

  6. Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Climatology CLIMATE & WATER Characteristics Search http://lucretia.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc/presentations/ TCPRECIPWEB/tcprecip.html

  7. Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Climatology CLIMATE & WATER For Storm Total Precipitation and Mean Areal Precipitation: RAW DATA IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD

  8. Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Climatology CLIMATE & WATER The year you selected is : 1994 Station,St,Lat,Long,Precip, Yr,Begin-Mth,Day,End-Mth,Day,SpeedSE,SpeedIN,Int,Dir,CoopID ADDISON AL 34.203 -87.181 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 10063 ATHENS AL 34.777 -86.951 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 10390 BESSEMER 3 WSW AL 33.395 -87.008 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 10764 CARBON HILL AL 33.893 -87.527 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 11377 CHATOM AL 31.471 -88.251 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 11566 DEMOPOLIS L & D AL 32.519 -87.879 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 12245 ELROD AL 33.257 -87.797 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 12632 FRISCO CITY 3 SSW AL 31.389 -87.420 0.00 ALBERTO 1994 7 3 7 6 SLSE SLIN -1 NE 13105

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