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James Newell, MERA ( Monitoring and Evaluation Research Associates Ltd) mera

Looking Back Looking Forward : the 2013 census, Local Boards and Labour Market Areas of the “Auckland Supercity ” in Transition : 1981 - 2031. James Newell, MERA ( Monitoring and Evaluation Research Associates Ltd) www.mera.co.nz Quality Hotel Parnell, Auckland 10 th -December 2013.

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James Newell, MERA ( Monitoring and Evaluation Research Associates Ltd) mera

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  1. Looking Back Looking Forward :the 2013 census, Local Boards and Labour Market Areas of the “Auckland Supercity” in Transition : 1981 - 2031 James Newell, MERA (Monitoring and Evaluation Research Associates Ltd) www.mera.co.nz Quality Hotel Parnell, Auckland 10th-December 2013

  2. % Change in Population 2006 - 2013

  3. Change in Population Density : 2006-2013persons per sq km

  4. % Change in Population 2001 - 2006

  5. Change in Population Density : 2001-2006persons per sq km

  6. Auckland Local Labour Market Geography 2006 and 2013 Boards

  7. Auckland – two labour market catchments in 2006

  8. Industry Dissimilarity (ANZSIC96 level 1) to Central and North Auckland Labour Market Catchment

  9. Comparing 2006 Labour Market Subcatchments and 2013 Local Boards

  10. Community of Interest Areas (“Communities”)

  11. Population density (green dots) and employment density (red dots) - 2006

  12. Historical (census) and Projected (Stats NZ 2012 Series) Population Change 1981-2013 Note – 2006/11 period for projections but used 2006/13 for census counts

  13. Net Change in Population Change by Age Group 2006-2013

  14. Auckland Summary

  15. Some High Growth Boards

  16. Insights into ethnic compositional changes from school enrolment data 1998 - 2013

  17. Board Selected % Ethnic Composition – School Rolls 2013

  18. Board % Asian Composition – School Rolls 2013

  19. Change in Auckland Total School Roll by Ethnicity (1)

  20. Change in Auckland Total School Roll by Ethnicity (2) - Pasifika

  21. Change in Auckland Total School Roll by Ethnicity (3) - Asian

  22. Change – 5-10 yr old enrolled by Ethnic Group – Index 1.0 in 2006

  23. Selected Broad Ethnic Groups - Board Level % in 2013

  24. Asian Ethnic Groups - Board Level % in 2013

  25. Some Points - population • Population Growth Rates were just above the medium growth rate for 2006-2013 (on SNZ 2012 projection ….) • Note the growth in older age groups and in under 5’s … • Growth rates are expected to slow due to demographic changes .. But are still significant

  26. Some Points – ethnic composition • Population Growth Rates were just above the medium growth rate for 2006-2013 (on SNZ 2012 projection ….) • Note the growth in older age groups and in under 5’s … • Growth rates are expected to slow due to demographic changes .. But are still significant

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