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This study examines the impact of regional factors on the transition to independent living in the context of the "latest-late" shift to adulthood. It analyzes within-country variability in home-leaving patterns and associations with macro-level community characteristics. Using multilevel models with data from IPUMS-I and the Spain 2001 Census, the research identifies structural and cultural factors influencing nest leaving, highlighting the importance of labor market accessibility and modern cultural climates for young adults. The findings emphasize the need for further research on educational enrollment, family ties, and extending the model to other Southern European countries.
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The Impact of Regional Factors on Leaving Home in the Context of the “Latest-Late” Transition to Adulthood: A Multilevel Approach Agnese Vitali EDSD – INED DondenaCentreforResearch on Social Dynamics, Bocconi University
Focus Increasing between- and within-country heterogeneity in patterns to adulthood The transition to independent living in the “latest-late” Transition to Adulthood context Association of within-country variability in home-leaving with macro-level characteristics of local communities
Hypotheses Regionalvariability in patterns of home leaving STRUCTURAL FACTORS CULTURAL FACTORS Labour market “Modern” climate Housing market Family ties
DATA: IPUMS-I, Spain 2001 Census Microdata as an opportunity to disaggregate large samples according to place of residence, thus allowing the investigation of within-country variability Sample: 370,001 individuals aged 17-35; 52 provinces; 316 municipalities
Method: Two-level Random Intercept Logistic Model Vector of individual-level characteristics Random Intercept Vector of provincial(municipal)-level characteristics Constant Residual individual-level variation Random Effect,
Individual-level information, IPUMS-I Age Gender Employment Status Educational achievement School enrollment
Macro-level information, INE (1/2) STRUCTURAL FACTORS • LABOUR MARKET: • Unemployment rate • Proportion with higher education • HOUSING MARKET: • Proportion of vacant dwellings
Macro-level information, INE (2/2) CULTURAL FACTORS • “MODERN” CULTURAL CLIMATE: • Proportion of cohabiting couples • STRENGTH OF FAMILY TIES: • Proportion of 3+ generations households
Conclusion • Regional variability in the transition to independent living does exist at both provincial and municipal level • Structural and cultural factors both explain between-community variability • Easy access to the labour market together with a modern cultural climate characterize the most favourable environment for nest leaving
Further Directions for Research (1/2) • Deeper investigation of the educational enrollment dimension: does the availability of universities matter? • Different indicator for strength of family ties
Further Directions for Research (2/2) • 3-level model – structural factors at the municipal-level and cultural factors at the provincial-level? • Extension to other Southern European countries