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UNCERTAINTY THE DYNAMICS OF RD Nick Bloom Stanford, CEP NBER January 2007

UNCERTAINTY APPEARS TO VARY OVER TIME. Uncertainty appears to be counter-cyclical rising by 50% to 100% in recessions (Schwert, 1989) Uncertainty also appears to jump 100% to 200% after major economic and political shocks (Bloom, 2006). BUT WHAT IS THE REAL-OPTIONS IMPACT OF TIME VARYING UNC

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UNCERTAINTY THE DYNAMICS OF RD Nick Bloom Stanford, CEP NBER January 2007

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