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Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis

Learn essential techniques for analyzing cash flows, financial statements, and ratios to make informed business decisions. Explore tools like ratio analysis, trend analysis, and cash sufficiency ratio.

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Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis

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  1. Session 19Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  2. Businesses are like Fruit Trees Fruit = Operating Activities Trunk & Branches = Investing Activities Roots = Financing Activities FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  3. Statement of Cash Flows • Operating • Working capital, day-to-day transactions • Direct versus indirect methods • Investing • Non-current assets—mainly PP&E and marketable securities • Financing • Debt, equity and dividends paid FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  4. Accounting’s Perfect Storm • IFRS Adoption • Convergence Completion • Including Financial Statement Reformating • Private Company Financial Reporting • PCC • FRF FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  5. Target Your Efforts • Solvency assurance • Wealth enhancement • Performance improvement FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  6. Start with the 3 P’s • Planning • Processing • Presenting FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  7. Include the Trifecta: Q-S-T • Q: Quantitative analysis • S: Strategic assessment • T: Tactical feasibility FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  8. Tools for Financial Statement Analysis • Ratio analysis • Trend analysis • Common-size analysis • Base period analysis • Comparative analysis • Horizontal and vertical analyses FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  9. A Financial Statement Approach • Look for key relationships • Focus on spending drivers • Don’t overlook the Statement of Cash Flows • Remember to measure trends • Tell a story FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  10. Guidelines for a Presentation • Clarity • Accuracy • Simplicity • Visually friendly • Limit page content FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  11. Cash Flow Red-Flags • Receivable and inventory growth rate exceeds sales growth rate • Payables growth rate exceeds inventory growth rate • Current liabilities grow faster than sales • Sustained operating losses (negative net income) FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  12. Cash Flow Red-Flags (cont’d) • Negative operating cash flow • Capital expenditures exceed operating cash flow • Sustained capital expenditures reductions • Sustained sales of marketable securities in excess of purchases • Substantial shift from long to short term borrowing • Dividend reduction or elimination FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  13. Cash Sufficiency Ratio • Cash Flow From Operations + Interest + TaxesPPE + Debt Servicing + Taxes + Dividends • Should be greater than 1 • Can easily disaggregate • Different footprints for different development stages FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  14. Cash Conversion Cycle • Cash conversion cycle • Days in payables ≥ DSO + Days in inventory FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  15. Typical Common Ratios • Solvency & liquidity • Earnings • Performance FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  16. Ratio Analysis • General guidelines: • Be consistent • Ascertain contents of numerator and denominator • Apply common sense… FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  17. Trend Analysis • Static analysis is virtually useless • Trend direction is key • Combine with other approaches FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  18. Common-size Analysis • Helpful for size discrepancies • Keyed to sales or total assets • Helpful for industry comparisons FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  19. Base Period Analysis • Combines trending and percentage analysis • Select representative base year and set the index at 100 • Measure subsequent periods in terms of the base year • Helpful for industry comparisons • Eliminates size bias FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  20. Comparative Analysis Cautions • Timing variances • GAAP variances • Conservative vs. Aggressive GAAP • Management attitude…”win at all cost!” • Size • Geographic venues FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  21. Horizontal and Vertical Analysis • The most basic…and most powerful analytical tool • Key element in fraud detection • Keeps the organization under control FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  22. Horizontal Analysis • Period versus period changes • Value changes • Percentage changes • Look for irregularities FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  23. Horizontal Analysis - Example FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  24. Vertical Analysis • Relationships within the same period: • Numerical relationships • Percentage relationships • Look for irregularities FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

  25. Vertical Analysis - Example FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

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