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Broadband Ukraine 2013 Uptake of Fibre Services – Should we be worried? Dr Ross Patterson

Broadband Ukraine 2013 Uptake of Fibre Services – Should we be worried? Dr Ross Patterson Chairman, Akhet Consulting 12 July 2013 Ukraine, Kiev. Contents. NBN FTTH Rollouts NBN Policy objectives Uptake Experience Lessons. NBN FTTH Rollouts.

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Broadband Ukraine 2013 Uptake of Fibre Services – Should we be worried? Dr Ross Patterson

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  1. Broadband Ukraine 2013 Uptake of Fibre Services – Should we be worried? Dr Ross Patterson Chairman, Akhet Consulting 12 July 2013 Ukraine, Kiev

  2. Contents NBN FTTH Rollouts NBN Policy objectives Uptake Experience Lessons

  3. NBN FTTH Rollouts • Singapore, Australia & New Zealand are all rolling • out fibre to the home networks with state funding Singapore Grant to private operators Australia State owned operator New Zealand Concessionary finance to private operators

  4. NGN Policy Objectives • “Singapore’s Broadband Infrastructure to be internationally recognized as amongst the top in Asia” • “To design, build and operator a new NBN to provide access to high speed broadband to all Australian premises” • “To accelerate roll out of ultra fast broadband to 75% of New Zealanders over 10 years” • What about the demand side? • Build it and they will come?

  5. Uptake Experience • “Fibre broadband take up shockingly low in Singapore” • Singapore Business Review, 30 May 2011 • “Adams updates on UFB numbers: many home passed, few customers connected – still” • The National Business Review, 09 May 2013 • “Chorus lifts broadband connections, fixed line connections edge down” • The National Business Review, 30 May 2011 • Did they come? Not at first

  6. Uptake Experience • But a longer view is needed… • Singapore Chart

  7. Uptake Experience • Also, UAE Selected national fibre penetration correlated to underpinning models (Dec 2012) Source: Arthur D. Little Report, May 2013 - “National Fibre Strategies: National economic imperative or just another private industry task?”

  8. Uptake Experience • and Qatar Selected national fibre penetration correlated to underpinning model Source: Arthur D. Little Report, May 2013 - “National Fibre Strategies: National economic imperative or just another private industry task?”

  9. Uptake Experience Qatar Chart

  10. Uptake Experience UAE Chart

  11. Lessons • Build it and they will come eventually. • Take up driven by bundled triple play offers. • Fibre penetration 30%+ before retail offers are introduced.

  12. Dr Ross PattersonChairmanEmail: ross@akhetconsulting.comMob: +971 52 820 9685 Akhet Consulting FZ LLE Level 14, Boulevard Plaza Tower 1,  Emaar Boulevard, Downtown Dubai PO Box 334155, Dubai, UAE T:  +971 4 455 8606 F:  +971 4 455 8556 www.akhetconsulting.com

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