1 / 20

Telecommunications Sector Stock Presentation

Telecommunications Sector Stock Presentation. Chad Stutz Ryan Cook. Fin 724/824. Review of Recommendations. Overweight Telecom Telecoms have steady cash flows, so... Balance SIM growth portfolio with “Defensive-Growth” stocks Structure holdings to emphasize wireless industry

farhani
Download Presentation

Telecommunications Sector Stock Presentation

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Telecommunications SectorStock Presentation Chad Stutz Ryan Cook Fin 724/824

  2. Review of Recommendations • Overweight Telecom • Telecoms have steady cash flows, so... • Balance SIM growth portfolio with “Defensive-Growth” stocks • Structure holdings to emphasize wireless industry • Primary focus in emerging markets • Add 156 bps to portfolio

  3. SIM PORTFOLIO • Sector Presentation earned an additional 156 basis points for the Telecommunications Sector • Currently the only stock the SIM portfolio holds in Telecommunications is America Movil

  4. AméricaMóvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) • 3rd largest wireless network operator in world • 182 mil wireless subscribers • Largest corporation in Latin America • Operates in 18 countries • Primarily Wireless Company • Fixed line operations in Central America & Caribbean • Operates in Mexico as Telcel = #1 wireless company • Operates in Brazil as Claro = #2 largest market • Operates in U.S. as TracFone = pre-paid provider

  5. Valuation Analysis: Price Multiples

  6. AMX - Target Price & Upside Sensitivity Analysis

  7. AMX Recommendation • Upside of 13.81% from DCF • Lowest DCF upside of 4 companies we reviewed • AMX is approaching maturity stage of life cycle • Evidenced by market saturation in major markets • Good company, but there are better opportunities • SELL all shares = 240 bps

  8. NII Holdings, Inc. (NIHD) • Originally organized in 1995 as a holding company for the operations of Nextel Communications, Inc. in selected international markets. • Operates in the emerging markets in Latin America. • Beta of 2.22 very cyclical stock. • Reports its results of operations in U.S. dollars, therefore changes in exchange rates can affect earnings reports.

  9. Valuation Analysis: Price Multiples

  10. NIHD - Target Price & Upside

  11. NIHD Recommendation • Upside of 50.03% from DCF • Extremely cheap price multiples • Latin American wireless • NIHD has more room to grow than AMX • Cyclical growth stock • BUY 75 bps

  12. Verizon Communications (VZ) • iPhone contract with AT&T expires in 201o, Verizon is in discussions with Apple to develop an iPhone for Verizon with the goal of introducing it next year. • 40 percent of iPhone users are new AT&T subscribers, contributing to yet another net gain in wireless customers. • Verizon can expect similar results if Apple does produce a version of the iPhone for Verizon.

  13. Valuation Analysis: Price Multiples

  14. VZ - Target Price & Upside

  15. VZ Recommendation • Upside of 20.35% from DCF • Underpriced multiples • iPhone on the horizon (4G) • Domestic defensive stock = sector diversification • BUY 50 bps

  16. China Mobile Limited (CHL) • World’s #1 mobile operator - in terms of subscribers • 415 mil wireless subscribers (2/3 of China market) • Largest company on Hong Kong Stock Exchange • 1/2 of new subscribers in 2007 from rural areas • Continued growth will be fueled by rural expansion • State-owned corporation • This year, the company will start rolling out 3G • More data plans = more revenue • iPhone?

  17. Valuation Analysis: Price Multiples

  18. CHL - Target Price & Upside Sensitivity Analysis

  19. CHL Recommendation • Upside of 64.11% from DCF • Very cheap price multiples • Defensive Growth company • Opportunities for continued growth in rural regions • 3G on the horizon • Wireless data & possible iPhone • BUY 271 bps

  20. Recommendations • AMX has low DCF valuation and is approaching maturity. Good company, but there are better ones • VZ is a defensive domestic that keeps us diversified while positioning for growth • NIHD is a cyclical growth stock that seems undervalued and has a very impressive upside • CHL is a defensive growth stock with the highest upside and potential for major growth in rural regions

More Related