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The link between casualties and demographic data - and the importance of vehicle design

The link between casualties and demographic data - and the importance of vehicle design Iain Reeve. Assistant Director (Economy, Transport and Planning) Surrey County Council Louise Lloyd Chartered Statistician, TRL. Iain Reeve Assistant Director Economy, Transport & Planning.

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The link between casualties and demographic data - and the importance of vehicle design

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  1. The link between casualties and demographic data - and the importance of vehicle design Iain Reeve Assistant Director (Economy, Transport and Planning) Surrey County Council Louise Lloyd Chartered Statistician, TRL

  2. Iain Reeve Assistant Director Economy, Transport & Planning

  3. Ten a day, five a month.

  4. 2012, so far.... All Surrey roads (provisional) The 6 fatalities in October included 3 in one incident – a coach crash on the A3 near the Hindhead Tunnel

  5. For those who prefer pictures Note: The 2012 Surrey figure is a pro-rata of 10 months provisional data

  6. Insert the title of your presentation here A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean? Presented by Name HereJob Title - Date Louise Lloyd

  7. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 Whatdoes this mean? Page 8

  8. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Page 9

  9. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Page 10

  10. Hypotheses Changes in: Traffic Financial stability Weather Vehicle safety Page 11

  11. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 Whatdoes this mean? Page 12

  12. Casualty trends by road user type Killed casualty trend by casualty class Your text Page 13

  13. Fatal casualties by age group Page 14

  14. Young driver licence holders Page 15

  15. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 Whatdoes this mean? Page 16

  16. Exposure data by car class Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type Your text Page 17

  17. Fatality rate by car type Page 18

  18. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Page 19

  19. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Page 20

  20. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Page 21

  21. Car secondary safety – drivers Your text Page 23

  22. Car secondary safety – drivers Your text Page 24

  23. Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection Your text Page 27

  24. Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection Your text Page 28

  25. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 Whatdoes this mean? Page 29

  26. Quarterly fatality numbers Page 30

  27. Quarterly fatality numbers Page 31

  28. Minimum quarterly temperature Page 32

  29. Minimum quarterly temperature Page 33

  30. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 Whatdoes this mean? Page 34

  31. Conclusions Traffic Financial stability Weather Vehicle safety Page 35

  32. Conclusions Traffic General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding Page 36

  33. Conclusions Traffic Financial stability General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding Page 37

  34. Conclusions No change to trend in improvements due to secondary safety Vehicle safety Page 38

  35. Conclusions Progressively colder winters Weather Page 39

  36. What does this mean in Surrey? Page 40

  37. Conclusions • This is important • Road safety figures are always subject to some variances, but ... • ... these results seem to be too extreme to be a random spike. • We should not claim that we were responsible for all of this improvement. • It seems to be a mixture of causalities – weather, recession, driver behaviour, vehicles • More research is needed • We need a dialogue on how to capture some or all of this improvement • We need to inform drivers and vulnerable road users • Suggests that we can reduce road deaths still further ... if only we understand what is happening.

  38. Louise Lloyd Senior Statistician 01344 770145 lklloyd@trl.co.uk Page 42

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