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Research on Public Opinion and Voting Behavior Related to LGBT People

Research on Public Opinion and Voting Behavior Related to LGBT People. Heterosexuals ’ opinions about homosexuals and homosexuality (change over time, correlates) Heterosexual voting on civil rights initiatives Bisexual/Gay/Lesbian voting behavior and party identification.

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Research on Public Opinion and Voting Behavior Related to LGBT People

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  1. Research on Public Opinion and Voting Behavior Related to LGBT People • Heterosexuals’ opinions about homosexuals and homosexuality (change over time, correlates) • Heterosexual voting on civil rights initiatives • Bisexual/Gay/Lesbian voting behavior and party identification

  2. Sexual Relations between Two Adults of Same Sex are Always Wrong (GSS, 1973-2010)

  3. Allow Homosexuals to be Teachers (GSS, 1973-2010)

  4. Society Should Accept Homosexuality as a Way of Life(source: Pew)

  5. Mean Thermometer Ratings--Homosexuals(NES, 1988-2008)

  6. Thermometer Ratings of Other Groups(2008 NES)

  7. Mean Thermometer Ratings: Gays and Lesbians by Race/Ethnicity (2008 NES)

  8. Support for Protection from Job DiscriminationNES, 1992-2004

  9. Homosexuals should have equal job opportunities.

  10. Homosexuals should have equal job opportunities.

  11. Percent who favor same-sex marriage

  12. Vote for well-qualified homosexual for president.(Source: Gallup)

  13. Percent who favor same-sex marriage

  14. Percent who favor same-sex marriage

  15. Percent who favor same-sex marriage

  16. Reasons for Change • Increasing levels of education • Less willingness to restrict civil liberties generally • Increasing visibility of LGBT people • Framing of gay rights movement (minority identity versus sexual conduct) • Orientation versus preference • Focusing events (e.g., Matthew Shepherd) • De-linking of opinions about civil rights from judgments of homosexuality • Changing positions of political elites

  17. State and Local Civil Rights Initiatives • 1972-2005, 143 Initiatives (105 at local level) • 1972-2005, 113 Anti-gay Initiatives • 1972-2005, 30 Pro-gay Initiatives • 1972-2005, 71% Anti-gay Outcomes (70% at local level) • 1972-1996, 90 Initiatives, 75% Anti-gay Outcomes • 1997-2005, 53 Initiatives, 64% Anti-gay Outcomes

  18. Factors Affecting Outcomes of Civil Rights Initiatives • Jurisdiction size (pro-gay outcome at local level) • Education (pro-gay outcome) • Gay households (pro-gay outcome) • Fundamentalists in electorate (anti-gay outcome)

  19. County-level Vote on Marriage Amendments: California and Florida(Salka and Burnett 2012)

  20. Context and Voting on Same-Sex Ballot Measures, 2004-2006(Dyck and Pearson-Merkowitz 2011)

  21. Age and Social Networks in Gay Civil Rights Acceptance and Voting Behavior(Becker and Scheufele 2011)

  22. Heterosexuals’ Attitudes Toward Transgender People: Feeling Thermometer Scores (Norton and Herek 2012)

  23. Cohort and Tolerance Source: Robert Andersen and Tina Fetner, Cohort Differences in Tolerance of Homosexuality

  24. Public Opinion and Economic Development Source: Robert Andersen and Tina Fetner, Economic Inequality and Intolerance: Attitudes toward Homosexuality in 35 Democracies

  25. Approval of Homosexuality in the Americas(Encarnacion 2011)

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