290 likes | 423 Views
Learning 2.0: Robust, Rigorous, Relevant, and Rapid. Paul Wallace MD Permanente Federation Kaiser Permanente Paul.Wallace@kp.org. “Gray Areas”. The last 115 new technologies examined:. ?. Generally not medically appropriate. Medically appropriate. 7.
E N D
Learning 2.0: Robust, Rigorous, Relevant, and Rapid Paul Wallace MD Permanente Federation Kaiser Permanente Paul.Wallace@kp.org
“Gray Areas”... The last 115 new technologies examined: ? Generally not medically appropriate Medically appropriate 7 • Insufficient evidence because the evidence is: • Of insufficient quantity and/or quality • B.Conflicting or inconsistent • C.There isno evidence 38 66 3 1 3
“Gray Areas”... The last 115 new technologies examined: Generally not medically appropriate Medically appropriate 7 • Insufficient evidence because the evidence is: • Of insufficient quantity and/or quality • B.Conflicting or inconsistent • C.There isno evidence 38 66 3 1 4
Comparative Population Effectiveness: The Kaiser Permanente National Joint Replacement Registry [Evaluation] feedback changed practice with respect to: implant selection, minimally invasive procedures, uncemented knees, and surgical indications and preoperative care. Paxton,EW et al; The Permanente Journal 15:12-16, 2008
Predictive Modeling... In patients with diabetes, Aspirin-Lisinopril-Lovastatin (ALL) as a daily combination, has a greater impact on cardiovascular risk than aggressive HbA1c (glucose) control
The Business of Health Care in 2009… chronic health conditions increasingly underlie the bulk of health care costs 1% of people Diabetes Heart Failure Coronary Artery Disease Depression Chronic Pain Cancer Asthma and COPD Dementia Falls Obesity … CO-MORBIDITIES 100% 80% 30 + % of total cost 60% 40% Premium level 20% 0% total cost 0% 0% 20% 60% 80% 100% 40% 20% of people 70% of people % of People
Is “more care better” for the patient with Multi-Morbidity? Desired Result N Engl J Med 351;27 2870-2874 December 30, 2004 What is the “dose response” for relating the number of things you do to achieving clinical outcomes? # of Interventions
A key challenge FFS Medicare (Not to scale at higher ages – not even close!) Usual Care $ Prevention 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Working Years Working or Not? Age Phil Madvig MD The Permanente Medical Group
A key challenge: Living to utilize... FFS Medicare Usual Care (Not to scale at higher ages – not even close!) $ DM + End-of-Life PalliativeCare Prevention 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Working Years Working or Not? Mortality diff Age Phil Madvig MD The Permanente Medical Group
Care in the last 6 months of life... Non-KP Medical Centers (Same Cities) Non-KP Medical Centers (All US) KP Medical Centers • The Dartmouth Atlas Applied to Kaiser Permanente: Analysis of Variation in Care at the End of Life • By Matt Stiefel, MPA, Paul Feigenbaum, MD, and Elliott S Fisher, MD, MPH • The Permanente Journal/ Winter 2008/ Volume 12/ Number 1
Health 0.0 • “Rules of the Game” model • Coverage policies, prior approval, ‘utilization management’ • ? Evidence Based Medicine
Health 0.0 • “Rules of the Game” model • Coverage policies, prior approval, ‘utilization management’ • ? Evidence Based Medicine • “Skin in the game” model • Co-payment and Deductibles • Financial incentives • High Deductible, Value Based and Consumer Directed Health Plans • (Shared Decision Making)
Health 0.0 • “Rules of the Game” model • Coverage policies, prior approval, ‘utilization management’ • ? Evidence Based Medicine • “Skin in the game” model • Co-payment and Deductibles • Financial incentives • High Deductible, Value Based and Consumer Directed Health Plans • (Shared Decision Making) • “Brain in the game” model • Sustainable behavior change • Motivational interviewing and coaching • Shared Decision Making
Health 2.0 • User Generated Content • Patient Networks and Communities • “Dis-intermediation” • Patient-centered Personalized
Cross cutting values...Health 0.0 thru 2.0 The Trusted source Knowledge-based Values-based
An Oncology Patient in 1996... • “Don’t tell me what to do, doc...
An Oncology Patient in 1996... • “Don’t tell me what to do, doc... • Help me understand what all this information means for me.”