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Learning Futures workshop Build the future here. Professor Gilly Salmon & Sandra Romenska Beyond Distance Research Alliance University of Leicester, UK. It was the best of times... It was the worst of times.
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Learning Futures workshopBuild the future here... Professor Gilly Salmon & Sandra Romenska Beyond Distance Research Alliance University of Leicester, UK
It was the best of times... It was the worst of times... From Tale of Two Cities - (1859) by Charles Dickens. It’s the first line of the book Foreshadowing is a technique used by authors to provide clues for the reader to be able to predict what might occur later in the story. Red Herrings A hint that is designed to mislead the ‘audience’ is referred to as a red herring. An example of foreshadowing is the self-fulfilling prophecy - that directly or indirectly causes itself to become true
Outcomes of the group work 1What do we want to foreshadow (self-fulfilling prophecies)?
The second two decades of the 21st Century will be the best ever for open and distance learning in the history of the world. Mobile learning is the ‘answer’ to learning in th future. Mobile phones will enhance our reality. learning anywhere and anytime will become natural, learning will be constant and continuous. Small chunks of learning will provide for emergence of frameworks for deep learning.
People will co-operate and work together more and become more creative. Universities will not be creators of educational material, rather they will create the rules about what is needed to pass a course (validation of knowledge). the educational content will be created elsewhere, in a distributed and Networked manner. Peer assessment will replace teacher driven assessment.
Universities and university teachers will embrace experimentation with different technologies.Technological “playfulness” will become embedded in teaching and learning. The Final Breakthrough will occur in the use of the internet for learning and teaching. Rather like electricity learning technology will becomeas commonplace and ubiquitous as electricity is today, to the point of being invisible.
Warm up: What if? 1. What if ... there were only half of the number of campus based- universities in Europe compared to now? 2. What if ... European universities had twice the numbers of students compared to now? 3. What if ...all students were allowed to attend to university only for the first year of their degrees 4. What if ...all university teaching resources had to be openly published on the web? 5. What if ...all closed book supervised exams were banned? 6. What if all students HAD to bring the latest high tech laptop with them to their (on or offline ) class? 7. What if...the world ran out of paper? 8. What if the internet/web crashed/melted down...
Warm up: What if there were only half of the number of campus based- universities in Europe compared to now? More open universities would take over the market. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW Google University Europe The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW More of a market place for education The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 4. Away from teaching towards testing The Group votedthat this is….RED HERRING
What if … European universities had twice the numbers of students compared to now? There will be a rise in independent learning and replacement of teaching as we know it today with mentoring and tutoring. The number of higher education institutions will increase The number of higher education institutions will not increase Technology will advance further to support institutions and teachers to cope with the increased number of learners.
Warm up: What if European universities had twice the numbers of students compared to now? 1. dual mode universities will rise. Red Herring or foreshadow? dont know 2. Greater need to educate teachers in HEIs. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 3. Help students learn how to learn. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 4. Role teacher leading by example The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW
What if ...all students were allowed to attend to university only for the first year of their degrees There will be less degree courses than today and less people with degrees. A “sandwich” model of study will become dominating – with one year of study and two years of work experience. There will be a revolution with parents and students rising up to demand the full 3 years of education they can have today. Faculty will be happy as there will be less students and more time for their research.
What if ...all university teaching resources had to be openly published on the web? Faculty will “cheat” in repackaging others’ material and publishing it online. There will be less diversity in the educational content. There will be more diversity in the educational content.
Warm up: What if all students HAD to bring the latest high tech laptop with them to their (on or offline ) class?? 1. This will INCREASE the DIGITAL DIVIDE. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 2. Resources will need to be upgraded more frequently. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 3. Students IT skills will increase The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 4. Technologies will change fast and this may lead to failings. The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 5. The content may get overlooked because of the focus ontechnology The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW
Warm up: What if there were no closed book exams? 1. Change pedagogy foreshadow The Group votedthat this is….FORESHADOW 2. student behaviour would change 3. More on critical thinking cpapcity 4. More discussion more PBL 5. More student productivity 6. More information in heads v access instantly - balance
Warm up: What if ...the world ran out of paper? There will be more businesses emerging to replace paper-based learning. Students will be able to manage reading from a screen better than adults today. There will be impact on the environment, of scale we cannot anticipate today.
Warm up: What if if the internet/web crashed/melted down...? This is impossible as the web is a principle and not a tool. Communication skills requirements will remain unchanged. All teachers will be out of work. Digital archives will be lost. As a consequence invaluable knowledge will disappear. Web “black boxes” need to be created to safely store information the way that airplane black-boxes work.
Looking back for looking forward… HINDSIGHT How has learning changed in recent years What happened to learning that you expected? What happened differently from your expectation? INSIGHT What are the current trends, enablers, disruptions and barriers? FORESIGHT How can we use this knowledge to prepare for the next 10 years?
Looking back for looking forward…hindsight How has learning changed in recent years What happened to learning that you expected? What happened differently from your expectation? Learners today are different than 10 years ago. The change in students’ profile was anticipated but the nature of the change was not. E-learning has become wide-spread as expected. E-learning is much more accessible than anticipated 10 years ago, accommodating the needs of people with disabilities or learners who are disadvantaged. Higher education institutions have much less than expected leverage on decisions about educational content. Students rely heavily on educational content from the web – unexpectedly.
Looking back for looking forward…hindsight How has learning changed in recent years What happened to learning that you expected? What happened differently from your expectation? The Bologna process has changed (unified) assessment processes – unexpectedly. An unexpected consequence of the Bologna process is that it has reduced students’ mobility. Students today are “tied up” to their institution as they are required to satisfy the requirements of their home university. More students than anticipated are able to pay themselves for their studies. They have become more demanding in the position of customers. Students are staying in education much longer than expected – an MBA can be prolonged over 4 years. University students have developed different (better) attitudes to managing their own learning in a more reflective and self-directed way – unexpectedly.
Looking back for looking forward…hindsight How has learning changed in recent years What happened to learning that you expected? What happened differently from your expectation? The share of informal learning has increased. New technologies for learning have become unexpectedly widely used – such as podcasting, virtual worlds and others. Mobile learning has caught on – unexpectedly. The power of the omniscient professors – who always “know best” – is crumbling down. Unexpectedly, their ideas and knowledge are being questioned. Specialisation in a domain of knowledge happens earlier than anticipated, leading to the emergence of “young experts”. The emergence of open educational resources is completely unanticipated.
Looking back for looking forward… Insight What are the current trends, enablers, disruptions and barriers? Trends and enablersare web-based learning, the change in learning processes and de-institutionalision of learning – the emergence of informal learning and the possibility to mix information to create knowledge for learning. Deep learning is moving to previously “elite” niches, social learning is gaining importance,learning spaces are redesigned, diversity of views and backgrounds is blossoming. Disruptions & Barriersare increasing demands for privacy control, access to some resourcesonly by the few, preferences for lean learning, dominance of quick-fix approaches, aimed at passing exams only, business and marketplace mentality, virtualisation of human relationships, rising cost of learning and outdates skills for communication and learning.
Looking back for looking forward… HINDSIGHT How has learning changed in recent years What happened to learning that you expected? What happened differently from your expectation? INSIGHT What are the current trends, enablers, disruptions and barriers? FORESIGHT How can we use this knowledge to prepare for the next 10 years?
Looking back for looking forward – How can we use this knowledge to prepare for the next 10 years?foresight • Children are increasingly comfortable with using unfamiliar tools - quick learners . Teaching should encourage creativity. • Information competence needs promotion – evaluation skills, skills for reflection and critique. • Newness does not equal utility. Every new tool needs evaluation before implementation. • Cross/multi discipinary approaches are needed to avoidthe trap of narrow perspectives. • There will be further surprises.We need to be aware their impact will be unpredictable and tocontinue to reflect about the future. • Researchers, teachers and managers in higher education will need to be better writers of bids for funds.
Be the change you want to see in the world Mahatma Ghandi Never doubt the power of a small group of people to change the world. Nothing else ever has. Margaret Mead Thanks for taking part Every society honors its live conformists and its dead troublemakers." Mignon McLaughlin Please leave your business card for a write-up to be e mailed to you No budgets or humans were harmed in the making of this presentation Gilly Salmon EDEN